PHI beat DAL 2–1 in overtime. PHI also won the expected-goals battle 3.0 to 2.4: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Trevor Zegras scored at 3:27 of overtime, moving PHI’s win probability from 52% to 100%. Casey DeSmith saved 1.1 goals above expected.
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DAL–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 9:48 | Travis KonecnyPP from Matvei Michkov, Rasmus Ristolainen | 0–1 | 54% → 74% | |
| P2 17:53 | Arttu HyrySH unassisted | 1–1 | 23% → 47% | |
| OT 3:27 | Trevor Zegras from Cam York, Samuel Ersson | 1–2 | 52% → 100% |
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arttu Hyry R | 12:20 | 1 | +0.69 | +0.00 | +0.69 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Tyler Myers D | 15:33 | +0.09 | +0.08 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Bunting L | 3:46 | +0.03 | +0.06 | −0.22 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Lian Bichsel D | 14:53 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nils Lundkvist D | 17:56 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colin Blackwell C | 13:25 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Matt Duchene C | 17:20 | −0.05 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Esa Lindell D | 23:01 | −0.05 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Erne L | 10:39 | −0.07 | +0.05 | −0.31 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Hryckowian C | 14:37 | −0.09 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Miro Heiskanen D | 24:07 | −0.11 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mavrik Bourque C | 18:02 | −0.15 | −0.10 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Oskar Bäck C | 14:12 | −0.15 | −0.04 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Benn L | 14:14 | −0.17 | −0.06 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Thomas Harley D | 25:09 | −0.21 | −0.18 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikko Rantanen R | 21:24 | −0.46 | −0.11 | −0.19 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Robertson L | 20:55 | −0.56 | −0.22 | −0.34 | +0.03 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Johnston C | 23:00 | −0.82 | −0.09 | −0.31 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.39 | −0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Casey DeSmith G | 63:27 | +1.13 |
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Konecny R | 21:24 | 1 | +0.89 | +0.29 | +0.41 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Trevor Zegras C | 20:17 | 1 | +0.78 | +0.18 | +0.75 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Cam York D | 24:12 | 1 | +0.31 | +0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 22:12 | 1 | +0.19 | +0.21 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Travis Sanheim D | 23:19 | +0.12 | +0.16 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Denver Barkey C | 14:42 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Emil Andrae D | 11:12 | −0.05 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Owen Tippett R | 18:03 | −0.05 | +0.09 | −0.15 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Alex Bump L | 9:46 | −0.09 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Drysdale D | 22:10 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 14:31 | −0.12 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Garnet Hathaway R | 11:41 | −0.15 | −0.05 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 16:08 | −0.15 | −0.09 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Glendening C | 12:27 | −0.17 | +0.03 | −0.18 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Christian Dvorak C | 19:58 | −0.20 | +0.14 | −0.32 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Matvei Michkov R | 15:16 | 1 | −0.24 | +0.01 | −0.25 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Noah Cates L | 16:45 | −0.35 | −0.13 | −0.24 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Carl Grundstrom R | 12:18 | −0.37 | +0.12 | −0.49 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ersson G | 63:27 | +1.10 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.