NJD beat CHI 5–3. NJD also won the expected-goals battle 5.2 to 3.9: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jack Hughes scored at 14:51 of the third, moving NJD’s win probability from 51% to 88%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–NJD | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 4:19 | CHI | Ilya Mikheyev from Anton Frondell, Louis Crevier | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 11:15 |  NJD | Connor BrownPP from Luke Hughes, Jack Hughes | 1–1 | 37% → 53% |
| P1 13:11 | CHI | Frank Nazar from Ryan Donato, Andre Burakovsky | 2–1 | 47% → 64% |
| P2 15:48 | NJD | Simon Nemec from Dawson Mercer, Nico Hischier | 2–2 | 29% → 53% |
| P3 10:51 | CHI | Frank NazarPP from Connor Bedard, Anton Frondell | 3–2 | 58% → 82% |
| P3 14:32 | NJD | Dougie Hamilton from Jack Hughes, Timo Meier | 3–3 | 14% → 51% |
| P3 14:51 | NJD | Jack Hughes from Jesper Bratt, Jonas Siegenthaler | 3–4 | 51% → 88% |
| P3 19:29 | NJD | Jack HughesEN from Nico Hischier, Johnathan Kovacevic | 3–5 | 96% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Nazar C | 19:00 | 2 | +1.24 | +0.28 | +0.92 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 16:14 | 1 | +0.38 | −0.29 | +0.65 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 16:11 | +0.25 | +0.23 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Anton Frondell C | 16:52 | 2 | +0.08 | +0.24 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Sacha Boisvert C | 9:36 | +0.08 | −0.10 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Ethan Del Mastro D | 14:26 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Donato C | 14:52 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.11 | −0.22 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Andre Burakovsky L | 14:16 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.13 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sam Rinzel D | 20:49 | −0.16 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 22:27 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Korchinski D | 12:09 | −0.24 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Landon Slaggert L | 12:41 | −0.29 | −0.27 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 17:35 | −0.29 | +0.33 | −0.58 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Ryan Greene C | 16:02 | −0.41 | −0.34 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Connor Bedard C | 20:40 | 1 | −0.48 | −0.06 | −0.76 | +0.04 | −0.06 | +0.39 | −0.03 | |
| Louis Crevier D | 18:58 | 1 | −0.56 | −0.49 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Vlasic D | 20:13 | −0.61 | −0.64 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Lardis L | 15:37 | −0.92 | −0.28 | −0.61 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight G | 59:02 | +0.59 |
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dougie Hamilton D | 18:55 | 1 | +0.90 | +0.11 | +0.78 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Simon Nemec D | 16:55 | 1 | +0.74 | +0.07 | +0.68 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Brown R | 19:27 | 1 | +0.67 | +0.28 | +0.42 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jack Hughes C | 22:12 | 2 | 2 | +0.42 | +0.34 | +0.06 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Luke Hughes D | 22:07 | 1 | +0.39 | +0.61 | −0.15 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jesper Bratt L | 17:54 | 1 | +0.31 | +0.30 | −0.03 | +0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Johnathan Kovacevic D | 20:10 | 1 | +0.26 | +0.27 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Paul Cotter C | 7:36 | +0.12 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.02 | ||
| Dawson Mercer C | 21:10 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.33 | −0.30 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Evgenii Dadonov L | 9:47 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Maxim Tsyplakov R | 7:21 | −0.05 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nico Hischier C | 21:25 | 2 | −0.14 | −0.06 | −0.18 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.08 | |
| Cody Glass C | 11:31 | −0.16 | −0.03 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Jonas Siegenthaler D | 20:37 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.14 | −0.33 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Lenni Hameenaho R | 11:02 | −0.24 | −0.03 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Bjugstad C | 7:04 | −0.35 | +0.01 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Brenden Dillon D | 19:31 | −0.37 | −0.34 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Timo Meier R | 19:19 | 1 | −0.67 | +0.48 | −1.19 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen G | 60:00 | +0.61 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.