BOS beat CBJ 4–3 in a shootout. BOS also won the expected-goals battle 4.7 to 2.4: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Pavel Zacha scored on the power play at 19:49 of the third, moving BOS’s win probability from 3% to 49%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–CBJ | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 6:17 |  CBJ | Boone Jenner from Conor Garland | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 7:45 | CBJ | Mason Marchment from Ivan Provorov, Kirill Marchenko | 0–2 | 70% → 83% |
| P1 19:32 | CBJ | Charlie CoylePP from Kirill Marchenko, Mason Marchment | 0–3 | 86% → 93% |
| P3 6:29 |  BOS | Charlie McAvoy from Pavel Zacha, Viktor Arvidsson | 1–3 | 1% → 5% |
| P3 8:43 | BOS | Pavel ZachaPP from Charlie McAvoy, Viktor Arvidsson | 2–3 | 5% → 18% |
| P3 19:49 | BOS | Pavel ZachaPP from Viktor Arvidsson | 3–3 | 3% → 49% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavel Zacha C | 18:07 | 2 | 1 | +1.74 | +0.39 | +1.34 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 |
| Charlie McAvoy D | 26:09 | 1 | 1 | +1.47 | +0.52 | +0.71 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Fraser Minten C | 19:09 | +0.97 | +0.16 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.02 | +0.66 | ||
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 15:14 | 3 | +0.93 | +0.20 | −0.29 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +1.01 | |
| Jonathan Aspirot D | 17:49 | +0.09 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Casey Mittelstadt C | 16:35 | +0.08 | +0.10 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.11 | ||
| Morgan Geekie C | 15:31 | +0.08 | +0.17 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Mark Kastelic C | 11:21 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.00 | ||
| Hampus Lindholm D | 23:45 | −0.06 | +0.06 | −0.13 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Henri Jokiharju D | 15:16 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 14:41 | −0.07 | +0.06 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Andrew Peeke D | 17:56 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikita Zadorov D | 19:22 | −0.11 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 23:30 | −0.17 | +0.65 | −0.72 | +0.11 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Elias Lindholm C | 15:55 | −0.37 | +0.11 | −0.49 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Lukas Reichel L | 12:36 | −0.38 | −0.21 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Marat Khusnutdinov C | 17:03 | −0.48 | +0.17 | −0.64 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Tanner Jeannot L | 12:00 | −0.62 | +0.03 | −0.64 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman G | 63:14 | −0.21 |
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Coyle C | 18:59 | 1 | +1.38 | −0.09 | +0.81 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.68 | |
| Mason Marchment L | 14:59 | 1 | 1 | +0.72 | −0.04 | +0.75 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 |
| Danton Heinen L | 11:45 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Dante Fabbro D | 23:29 | +0.01 | +0.04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Werenski D | 30:11 | −0.02 | −0.13 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Isac Lundeström C | 13:28 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Egor Zamula D | 10:36 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Sillinger C | 16:29 | −0.12 | +0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Mathieu Olivier R | 3:06 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Boone Jenner C | 18:43 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.07 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Conor Garland R | 13:18 | 1 | −0.22 | +0.02 | −0.26 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Erik Gudbranson D | 18:34 | −0.24 | −0.24 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Monahan C | 17:43 | −0.27 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Denton Mateychuk D | 15:06 | −0.35 | −0.07 | −0.29 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Miles Wood L | 12:53 | −0.51 | −0.08 | −0.42 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Ivan Provorov D | 24:50 | 1 | −0.55 | −0.32 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kirill Marchenko R | 22:31 | 2 | −0.89 | −0.46 | −0.15 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.29 | |
| Adam Fantilli C | 21:43 | −0.93 | −0.43 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.32 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jet Greaves G | 65:00 | −0.00 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.