NYR beat CHI 6–1. NYR also won the expected-goals battle 4.1 to 2.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Matthew Robertson scored at 5:24 of the second, moving NYR’s win probability from 53% to 73%. Arvid Soderblom allowed 2.0 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–NYR | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 17:34 | CHI | Nick Lardis from Tyler Bertuzzi, Alex Vlasic | 1–0 | 47% → 65% |
| P1 18:32 | NYR | J.T. Miller from Conor Sheary, Braden Schneider | 1–1 | 35% → 53% |
| P2 5:24 | NYR | Matthew Robertson from J.T. Miller | 1–2 | 53% → 73% |
| P2 8:20 | NYR | Adam Sykora from Will Cuylle, Vincent Trocheck | 1–3 | 73% → 88% |
| P2 16:07 | NYR | Jonny Brodzinski from Will Borgen, Jaroslav Chmelar | 1–4 | 90% → 98% |
| P3 13:17 | NYR | Alexis LafrenièrePP from Adam Fox, J.T. Miller | 1–5 | 100% → 100% |
| P3 16:00 | NYR | Jonny Brodzinski from Taylor Raddysh, Drew Fortescue | 1–6 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Lardis L | 10:57 | 1 | +0.59 | −0.03 | +0.63 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Donato C | 12:59 | +0.04 | −0.02 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.06 | ||
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 15:14 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 17:44 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 13:52 | −0.05 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Anton Frondell C | 20:50 | −0.08 | −0.14 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 17:06 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ethan Del Mastro D | 17:36 | −0.12 | −0.05 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Rinzel D | 19:35 | −0.17 | −0.12 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sacha Boisvert C | 10:05 | −0.22 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Louis Crevier D | 18:05 | −0.22 | −0.05 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andre Burakovsky L | 13:19 | −0.28 | −0.02 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Artyom Levshunov D | 22:33 | −0.31 | −0.04 | −0.43 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Greene C | 17:27 | −0.33 | −0.08 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Frank Nazar C | 16:33 | −0.35 | −0.05 | −0.31 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Landon Slaggert L | 11:51 | −0.36 | −0.04 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 19:15 | 1 | −0.48 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.39 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Bedard C | 20:32 | −0.64 | −0.17 | −0.44 | +0.02 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Arvid Soderblom G | 60:00 | −1.98 |
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonny Brodzinski C | 11:00 | 2 | +1.51 | +0.10 | +1.43 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Matthew Robertson D | 15:53 | 1 | +0.90 | +0.16 | +0.73 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Sykora L | 13:56 | 1 | +0.79 | +0.04 | +0.57 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Alexis Lafrenière L | 16:34 | 1 | +0.71 | −0.04 | +0.75 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Braden Schneider D | 21:49 | 1 | +0.17 | +0.19 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| J.T. Miller C | 17:00 | 1 | 2 | +0.17 | +0.12 | −0.03 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.07 |
| Will Cuylle L | 15:31 | 1 | +0.17 | +0.05 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Vincent Trocheck C | 18:33 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.05 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.10 | |
| Will Borgen D | 17:41 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.11 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Drew Fortescue D | 17:23 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.07 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Fox D | 21:38 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.09 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jaroslav Chmelar R | 9:47 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.10 | −0.34 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Conor Sheary L | 15:28 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.12 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Tye Kartye L | 16:46 | −0.19 | +0.11 | −0.29 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gabe Perreault R | 15:28 | −0.20 | −0.04 | −0.17 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 23:34 | −0.23 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Taylor Raddysh R | 10:05 | 1 | −0.42 | +0.10 | −0.51 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mika Zibanejad C | 15:54 | −0.43 | −0.04 | −0.19 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Garand G | 60:00 | +1.77 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.