ANA beat CGY 3–2 in overtime. ANA also won the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Mikael Granlund scored on the power play at 4:59 of overtime, moving ANA’s win probability from 50% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ANA–CGY | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 1:06 | CGY | Blake Coleman from Joel Farabee, Olli Maatta | 0–1 | 53% → 72% |
| P2 3:07 |  ANA | Mikael Granlund unassisted | 1–1 | 28% → 47% |
| P3 7:46 | CGY | Matvei Gridin from Olli Maatta, Matt Coronato | 1–2 | 52% → 81% |
| P3 16:27 | ANA | Mikael GranlundPP from Leo Carlsson, John Carlson | 2–2 | 10% → 49% |
| OT 4:59 | ANA | Mikael GranlundPP from John Carlson, Cutter Gauthier | 3–2 | 50% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikael Granlund C | 19:31 | 3 | +2.06 | −0.14 | +2.17 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Ryan Poehling C | 16:54 | +0.26 | +0.27 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Jackson LaCombe D | 25:58 | +0.14 | +0.23 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Trouba D | 23:31 | +0.10 | +0.17 | −0.09 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason McTavish C | 15:05 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.13 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Jeffrey Viel L | 14:46 | +0.06 | +0.28 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Beckett Sennecke R | 15:47 | +0.04 | +0.04 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ian Moore D | 11:00 | −0.05 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Radko Gudas D | 8:33 | −0.06 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Carlson D | 26:55 | 2 | −0.06 | +0.06 | −0.15 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Killorn L | 17:48 | −0.10 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Tim Washe C | 12:51 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Leo Carlsson C | 20:05 | 1 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Frank Vatrano R | 13:38 | −0.19 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Olen Zellweger D | 13:25 | −0.23 | −0.04 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Mintyukov D | 17:44 | −0.24 | −0.16 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cutter Gauthier L | 22:03 | 1 | −0.34 | +0.16 | −0.71 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Chris Kreider L | 18:19 | −0.44 | −0.06 | −0.14 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ville Husso G | 64:59 | +0.33 |
CGY
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matvei Gridin R | 16:26 | 1 | +0.93 | +0.05 | +0.89 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Blake Coleman L | 18:30 | 1 | +0.30 | −0.08 | +0.59 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Zayne Parekh D | 17:06 | +0.10 | +0.13 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Olli Maatta D | 22:20 | 2 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| John Beecher C | 10:50 | −0.00 | +0.06 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Joel Hanley D | 15:28 | −0.05 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Strome C | 13:13 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Martin Pospisil C | 8:52 | −0.09 | +0.03 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Morgan Frost C | 16:52 | −0.10 | −0.15 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Hunter Brzustewicz D | 17:46 | −0.11 | +0.17 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Whitecloud D | 25:34 | −0.14 | −0.13 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Bahl D | 26:06 | −0.17 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Farabee L | 18:16 | 1 | −0.22 | −0.21 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Coronato R | 15:38 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.13 | −0.35 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Mikael Backlund C | 21:54 | −0.25 | −0.02 | −0.27 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Yegor Sharangovich C | 17:19 | −0.28 | −0.06 | −0.37 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Klapka R | 9:59 | −0.31 | +0.01 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Victor Olofsson R | 15:53 | −0.35 | −0.01 | −0.32 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Devin Cooley G | 64:59 | +0.10 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.