STL beat WSH 3–0. STL also won the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jimmy Snuggerud scored at 2:39 of the second, moving STL’s win probability from 53% to 72%. Joel Hofer saved 2.3 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WSH–STL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 2:39 | STL | Jimmy Snuggerud from Logan Mailloux, Philip Broberg | 0–1 | 53% → 72% |
| P3 14:52 | STL | Otto Stenberg from Dalibor Dvorsky, Jonatan Berggren | 0–2 | 88% → 99% |
| P3 19:19 | STL | Jordan KyrouEN unassisted | 0–3 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre-Luc Dubois C | 15:50 | +0.14 | +0.02 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.04 | ||
| Brandon Duhaime R | 9:20 | +0.11 | +0.13 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 17:08 | +0.09 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Leonard R | 13:54 | +0.09 | +0.08 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Strome C | 16:57 | +0.05 | +0.01 | −0.08 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.11 | ||
| Hendrix Lapierre C | 7:05 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Cole Hutson D | 21:12 | −0.02 | −0.06 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Miroshnichenko L | 9:22 | −0.12 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 12:34 | −0.14 | +0.02 | −0.17 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Aliaksei Protas L | 21:36 | −0.16 | −0.12 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 20:35 | −0.24 | −0.19 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Martin Fehérváry D | 17:45 | −0.24 | −0.14 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor McMichael L | 17:35 | −0.27 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.05 | ||
| Alex Ovechkin L | 14:31 | −0.29 | +0.04 | −0.38 | +0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Sandin D | 16:32 | −0.32 | −0.14 | −0.15 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Sourdif C | 17:54 | −0.32 | −0.04 | −0.26 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Jakob Chychrun D | 23:08 | −0.50 | +0.11 | −0.41 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Tom Wilson R | 19:55 | −0.64 | −0.11 | −0.50 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson G | 58:07 | +0.47 |
STL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Snuggerud R | 16:27 | 1 | +0.83 | +0.21 | +0.41 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Otto Stenberg C | 11:14 | 1 | +0.62 | −0.09 | +0.71 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Justin Holl D | 15:30 | +0.37 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.39 | +0.00 | ||
| Philip Broberg D | 22:27 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.11 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Pavel Buchnevich L | 17:31 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jonatan Berggren R | 13:06 | 1 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Cam Fowler D | 20:21 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Robert Thomas C | 14:08 | −0.08 | +0.23 | −0.21 | +0.09 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Finley C | 13:17 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Theo Lindstein D | 15:20 | −0.11 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Kyrou R | 16:01 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.07 | −0.19 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Dalibor Dvorsky R | 12:53 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Alexey Toropchenko R | 14:39 | −0.13 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pius Suter C | 14:33 | −0.20 | +0.03 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Logan Mailloux D | 20:51 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.03 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jake Neighbours L | 14:32 | −0.23 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Holloway L | 18:02 | −0.28 | +0.22 | −0.50 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Colton Parayko D | 21:49 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.32 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joel Hofer G | 59:19 | +2.32 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.