CHI beat MIN 2–1. Expected goals were close to even (CHI 2.5, MIN 2.3), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Ilya Mikheyev scored at 16:22 of the first, moving CHI’s win probability from 47% to 65%. Spencer Knight saved 1.0 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–MIN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 16:22 |  CHI | Ilya Mikheyev from Andrew Mangiapane | 1–0 | 47% → 65% |
| P2 11:47 | CHI | Connor Bedard unassisted | 2–0 | 69% → 85% |
| P2 15:47 |  MIN | Nico Sturm from Hunter Haight, Brock Faber | 2–1 | 13% → 29% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Bedard C | 23:54 | 1 | +0.39 | +0.12 | +0.17 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.03 | |
| Ryan Donato C | 13:32 | +0.34 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.39 | +0.02 | ||
| Louis Crevier D | 18:01 | +0.32 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.09 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Mangiapane L | 12:24 | 1 | +0.19 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.22 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 15:10 | 1 | +0.14 | −0.11 | +0.28 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 19:07 | +0.11 | +0.16 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Artyom Levshunov D | 20:21 | +0.08 | +0.18 | +0.00 | −0.08 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 21:46 | +0.02 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ethan Del Mastro D | 6:48 | +0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Landon Slaggert L | 7:14 | −0.01 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 19:56 | −0.02 | +0.24 | −0.24 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 18:07 | −0.08 | +0.14 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Lardis L | 8:37 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Frank Nazar C | 19:34 | −0.12 | +0.19 | −0.17 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 12:53 | −0.15 | +0.06 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Rinzel D | 16:57 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.11 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andre Burakovsky L | 20:03 | −0.18 | +0.13 | −0.02 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Greene C | 19:51 | −0.38 | −0.02 | −0.11 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight G | 59:45 | +1.00 |
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Sturm C | 11:12 | 1 | +0.37 | −0.02 | +0.44 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Hunter Haight C | 10:51 | 1 | +0.32 | −0.02 | −0.07 | +0.21 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Jake Middleton D | 13:37 | +0.03 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Bogosian D | 9:28 | +0.01 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Quinn Hughes D | 28:06 | +0.01 | +0.18 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mats Zuccarello C | 19:57 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.20 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Jared Spurgeon D | 22:16 | −0.04 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vladimir Tarasenko R | 17:48 | −0.05 | +0.08 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Foligno L | 12:10 | −0.09 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Danila Yurov R | 12:49 | −0.11 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marcus Johansson L | 16:24 | −0.12 | +0.03 | −0.12 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bobby Brink R | 14:17 | −0.13 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock Faber D | 23:01 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Boldy L | 23:25 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.15 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Jonas Brodin D | 18:37 | −0.20 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael McCarron C | 12:43 | −0.34 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Hartman R | 19:17 | −0.37 | +0.02 | −0.13 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.02 | ||
| Yakov Trenin C | 10:05 | −0.42 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.39 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jesper Wallstedt G | 57:57 | +0.78 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.