PHI beat ANA 3–2 in overtime. PHI also won the expected-goals battle 4.3 to 3.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Noah Cates scored at 2:17 of overtime, moving PHI’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Dan Vladar saved 1.4 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–ANA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 2:51 | PHI | Luke Glendening from Cam York, Garnet Hathaway | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P2 7:53 | PHI | Owen Tippett from Travis Sanheim | 2–0 | 68% → 83% |
| P2 19:22 |  ANA | Cutter GauthierPP from Pavel Mintyukov | 2–1 | 11% → 28% |
| P3 18:06 | ANA | Leo CarlssonPP from Troy Terry, Cutter Gauthier | 2–2 | 8% → 50% |
| OT 2:17 | PHI | Noah Cates from Matvei Michkov | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Sanheim D | 24:30 | 1 | +0.73 | +0.38 | −0.10 | +0.27 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Noah Cates L | 16:25 | 1 | +0.65 | +0.33 | +0.34 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Luke Glendening C | 14:00 | 1 | +0.35 | +0.11 | +0.25 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Garnet Hathaway R | 11:56 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.14 | −0.10 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Emil Andrae D | 10:51 | +0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Denver Barkey C | 11:41 | +0.15 | +0.04 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 20:45 | +0.13 | +0.11 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 17:27 | +0.06 | +0.13 | −0.04 | −0.05 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matvei Michkov R | 15:00 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.10 | −0.07 | +0.22 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Jamie Drysdale D | 22:09 | +0.03 | +0.13 | +0.00 | −0.08 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikita Grebenkin R | 8:47 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Owen Tippett R | 16:24 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.12 | +0.19 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Bump L | 13:20 | −0.13 | −0.03 | −0.08 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Trevor Zegras C | 18:27 | −0.13 | +0.05 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Cam York D | 21:34 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Sean Couturier C | 15:23 | −0.19 | +0.15 | −0.31 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 20:55 | −0.52 | −0.02 | −0.15 | −0.15 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Christian Dvorak C | 19:40 | −0.76 | −0.18 | −0.32 | −0.14 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.06 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar G | 62:08 | +1.45 |
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Carlsson C | 18:22 | 1 | +0.61 | +0.12 | +0.63 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Pavel Mintyukov D | 19:44 | 1 | +0.26 | −0.06 | −0.04 | +0.19 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Ian Moore D | 13:54 | +0.07 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Kreider L | 16:00 | −0.02 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jansen Harkins C | 4:06 | −0.09 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Frank Vatrano R | 5:48 | −0.09 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Olen Zellweger D | 12:31 | −0.11 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Killorn L | 20:01 | −0.13 | −0.10 | −0.14 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Troy Terry R | 19:07 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.05 | −0.36 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Cutter Gauthier L | 18:35 | 1 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.06 | +0.07 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.03 |
| Mikael Granlund C | 16:58 | −0.22 | −0.22 | −0.00 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Jacob Trouba D | 25:22 | −0.22 | −0.07 | −0.16 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Carlson D | 22:44 | −0.25 | +0.07 | −0.05 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Poehling C | 17:38 | −0.28 | +0.02 | −0.16 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Beckett Sennecke R | 20:00 | −0.29 | −0.20 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jackson LaCombe D | 25:29 | −0.30 | −0.06 | −0.10 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeffrey Viel L | 13:55 | −0.31 | +0.09 | −0.16 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Tim Washe C | 7:10 | −0.36 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal G | 61:44 | +0.63 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.