NJD beat LAK 6–4. NJD lost the expected-goals battle 2.5 to 3.7 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Jack Hughes scored on the power play at 17:31 of the third, moving NJD’s win probability from 52% to 93%. Anton Forsberg allowed 2.4 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–NJD | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 7:58 | NJD | Cody Glass from Arseny Gritsyuk | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 11:04 | NJD | Nico Hischier from Timo Meier, Luke Hughes | 0–2 | 70% → 84% |
| P2 4:15 | LAK | Anze KopitarPP from Brandt Clarke, Artemi Panarin | 1–2 | 14% → 28% |
| P2 6:03 | LAK | Artemi Panarin from Joel Edmundson, Adrian Kempe | 2–2 | 27% → 47% |
| P2 11:43 | LAK | Taylor Ward from Brandt Clarke, Samuel Helenius | 3–2 | 47% → 69% |
| P3 0:25 | NJD | Arseny Gritsyuk from Lenni Hameenaho, Dougie Hamilton | 3–3 | 27% → 52% |
| P3 12:42 | NJD | Nico HischierPP from Connor Brown, Jesper Bratt | 3–4 | 53% → 86% |
| P3 13:42 | LAK | Anze KopitarPP from Artemi Panarin, Brandt Clarke | 4–4 | 14% → 49% |
| P3 17:31 | NJD | Jack HughesPP from Nico Hischier, Dougie Hamilton | 4–5 | 52% → 93% |
| P3 19:52 | NJD | Timo MeierEN from Nico Hischier | 4–6 | 97% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Ward R | 9:44 | 1 | +0.96 | +0.11 | +0.86 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Anze Kopitar C | 19:37 | 2 | +0.66 | −0.21 | +0.89 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Artemi Panarin L | 20:20 | 1 | 2 | +0.65 | −0.11 | +0.69 | +0.09 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Jeff Malott L | 9:42 | +0.30 | +0.13 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Brandt Clarke D | 20:19 | 3 | +0.18 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Brian Dumoulin D | 15:10 | +0.09 | +0.10 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 16:23 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Cody Ceci D | 16:09 | +0.03 | +0.04 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 20:35 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mathieu Joseph R | 11:42 | −0.05 | +0.08 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 19:27 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.03 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Drew Doughty D | 23:15 | −0.16 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jared Wright R | 13:07 | −0.19 | +0.10 | −0.29 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Moore L | 16:51 | −0.23 | +0.05 | −0.28 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Laferriere R | 19:20 | −0.23 | +0.02 | −0.23 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 18:24 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.12 | −0.21 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Quinton Byfield R | 18:34 | −0.39 | +0.01 | −0.21 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.19 | −0.02 | ||
| Samuel Helenius C | 10:24 | 1 | −0.53 | +0.11 | −0.67 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Forsberg G | 57:46 | −2.44 |
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Hischier C | 20:26 | 2 | 2 | +1.67 | +0.11 | +1.29 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.08 |
| Jack Hughes C | 18:05 | 1 | +0.90 | −0.02 | +0.76 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.19 | −0.03 | |
| Cody Glass C | 14:11 | 1 | +0.70 | −0.03 | +0.73 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Arseny Gritsyuk R | 15:53 | 1 | 1 | +0.50 | −0.03 | +0.55 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Connor Brown R | 16:21 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.27 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Simon Nemec D | 17:57 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Maxim Tsyplakov R | 10:08 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Bjugstad C | 10:09 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Jonas Siegenthaler D | 20:41 | −0.06 | +0.12 | −0.17 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesper Bratt L | 13:47 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.13 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Lenni Hameenaho R | 11:40 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Timo Meier R | 18:49 | 1 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.06 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Dougie Hamilton D | 20:37 | 2 | −0.14 | +0.10 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Brenden Dillon D | 16:05 | −0.15 | −0.05 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Johnathan Kovacevic D | 21:25 | −0.20 | −0.06 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Paul Cotter C | 9:26 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.22 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Luke Hughes D | 22:09 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.20 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dawson Mercer C | 18:50 | −0.36 | −0.16 | −0.19 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen G | 60:00 | −0.32 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.