BOS beat WSH 3–2 in a shootout. BOS also won the expected-goals battle 3.5 to 2.8: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Charlie McAvoy scored at 10:09 of the third, moving BOS’s win probability from 17% to 48%. Jeremy Swayman saved 5.4 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–WSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 1:15 | WSH | Matt Roy from Rasmus Sandin, Hendrix Lapierre | 0–1 | 53% → 72% |
| P2 11:57 | BOS | Charlie McAvoy from David Pastrnak | 1–1 | 26% → 47% |
| P3 3:12 | WSH | Rasmus Sandin unassisted | 1–2 | 52% → 79% |
| P3 10:09 | BOS | Charlie McAvoy from Pavel Zacha, Viktor Arvidsson | 2–2 | 17% → 48% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie McAvoy D | 27:44 | 2 | +1.21 | +0.21 | +1.66 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.49 | |
| Fraser Minten C | 18:36 | +1.04 | +0.22 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +1.01 | ||
| Jonathan Aspirot D | 18:52 | +0.09 | +0.08 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 10:37 | −0.03 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Marat Khusnutdinov C | 16:03 | −0.08 | +0.06 | −0.31 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Andrew Peeke D | 19:07 | −0.08 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Hampus Lindholm D | 20:21 | −0.11 | +0.06 | −0.17 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Kastelic C | 10:28 | −0.24 | −0.03 | −0.25 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.00 | ||
| Tanner Jeannot L | 10:06 | −0.26 | +0.13 | −0.37 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Nikita Zadorov D | 17:51 | −0.31 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Lohrei D | 20:05 | −0.34 | +0.37 | −0.23 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.49 | ||
| Pavel Zacha C | 19:01 | 1 | −0.37 | +0.19 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.03 | −0.49 | |
| Michael Eyssimont C | 7:25 | −0.43 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 | ||
| Morgan Geekie C | 19:23 | −0.46 | +0.15 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.49 | ||
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 15:40 | 1 | −0.49 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.49 | |
| Casey Mittelstadt C | 14:02 | −0.50 | +0.05 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.49 | ||
| Elias Lindholm C | 20:16 | −0.56 | −0.02 | −0.58 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | −0.00 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 24:23 | 1 | −0.95 | +0.28 | −1.10 | +0.07 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.38 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman G | 65:00 | +5.37 |
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Roy D | 25:26 | 1 | +0.76 | −0.12 | +0.87 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Rasmus Sandin D | 23:19 | 1 | 1 | +0.55 | +0.02 | +0.53 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Justin Sourdif C | 11:36 | +0.15 | +0.07 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 15:49 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.10 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Timothy Liljegren D | 15:45 | −0.18 | +0.03 | −0.22 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Hendrix Lapierre C | 12:10 | 1 | −0.35 | −0.16 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Martin Fehérváry D | 20:21 | −0.36 | −0.35 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ethen Frank R | 7:32 | −0.41 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.49 | ||
| Ryan Leonard R | 12:58 | −0.44 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.38 | ||
| Pierre-Luc Dubois C | 19:48 | −0.48 | −0.11 | −0.25 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 | −0.32 | ||
| Brandon Duhaime R | 10:00 | −0.50 | −0.07 | −0.43 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Tom Wilson R | 23:05 | −0.50 | −0.13 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Jakob Chychrun D | 23:52 | −0.50 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.49 | ||
| Dylan Strome C | 20:21 | −0.63 | −0.02 | −0.11 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.49 | ||
| Aliaksei Protas L | 20:49 | −0.73 | +0.02 | −0.26 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.49 | ||
| Alex Ovechkin L | 15:47 | −0.80 | +0.11 | −0.46 | +0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.49 | ||
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 14:11 | −0.89 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.39 | +0.00 | −0.49 | ||
| Connor McMichael L | 15:11 | −1.25 | −0.25 | −0.27 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.04 | −0.49 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson G | 65:00 | +4.71 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.