DAL beat VGK 2–1. Expected goals were close to even (VGK 2.3, DAL 2.5), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Jamie Benn scored on the power play at 14:16 of the second, moving DAL’s win probability from 54% to 75%. Jake Oettinger saved 1.7 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VGK–DAL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 1:31 | VGK | Jack Eichel from Shea Theodore, Ivan Barbashev | 1–0 | 47% → 66% |
| P2 10:41 | DAL | Oskar Bäck from Colin Blackwell, Thomas Harley | 1–1 | 31% → 53% |
| P2 14:16 | DAL | Jamie BennPP from Wyatt Johnston, Matt Duchene | 1–2 | 54% → 75% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Eichel C | 22:51 | 1 | +0.66 | −0.02 | +0.45 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Mitch Marner R | 20:15 | +0.10 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Reilly Smith R | 11:32 | +0.08 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Shea Theodore D | 21:56 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.16 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brayden McNabb D | 19:52 | −0.05 | +0.18 | −0.23 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Keegan Kolesar R | 10:39 | −0.08 | +0.06 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Smith L | 10:59 | −0.09 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jeremy Lauzon D | 16:31 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kaedan Korczak D | 12:03 | −0.16 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Barbashev L | 15:03 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.20 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Pavel Dorofeyev L | 17:31 | −0.27 | −0.01 | −0.25 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Sissons C | 13:58 | −0.29 | −0.16 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Noah Hanifin D | 20:22 | −0.30 | −0.29 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Howden C | 12:51 | −0.30 | −0.05 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Tomas Hertl C | 18:09 | −0.31 | −0.01 | −0.28 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nic Dowd C | 11:32 | −0.32 | +0.09 | −0.15 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.04 | ||
| Rasmus Andersson D | 19:40 | −0.48 | −0.22 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Braeden Bowman R | 17:10 | −0.65 | −0.14 | −0.32 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill G | 58:10 | +0.17 |
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oskar Bäck C | 13:29 | 1 | +0.89 | +0.14 | +0.76 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jamie Benn L | 15:12 | 1 | +0.79 | +0.06 | +0.74 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Wyatt Johnston C | 22:51 | 1 | +0.18 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.02 | |
| Lian Bichsel D | 14:12 | +0.14 | +0.14 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Arttu Hyry R | 13:30 | +0.12 | +0.09 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Nils Lundkvist D | 14:20 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colin Blackwell C | 11:32 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.09 | −0.26 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Mavrik Bourque C | 19:24 | −0.04 | −0.12 | −0.31 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.39 | +0.00 | ||
| Esa Lindell D | 22:34 | −0.04 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Myers D | 13:46 | −0.06 | +0.16 | −0.22 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Bunting L | 12:33 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Duchene C | 15:01 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.09 | −0.15 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Miro Heiskanen D | 26:35 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Steel C | 11:25 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Robertson L | 22:04 | −0.12 | −0.04 | −0.11 | +0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Thomas Harley D | 21:34 | 1 | −0.17 | +0.08 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Justin Hryckowian C | 14:06 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.03 | ||
| Adam Erne L | 9:59 | −0.28 | +0.04 | −0.31 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger G | 59:53 | +1.66 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.