DAL beat CHI 4–3 in overtime. DAL also won the expected-goals battle 3.4 to 2.0: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Miro Heiskanen scored at 0:22 of overtime, moving DAL’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–DAL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 6:59 |  CHI | Tyler Bertuzzi from Artyom Levshunov, Frank Nazar | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 8:41 | CHI | Sam Rinzel from Teuvo Teravainen, Oliver Moore | 2–0 | 63% → 76% |
| P1 16:40 | DAL | Nathan Bastian from Lian Bichsel, Oskar Bäck | 2–1 | 21% → 35% |
| P3 0:42 | DAL | Mavrik Bourque from Michael Bunting | 2–2 | 27% → 52% |
| P3 9:40 | DAL | Justin HryckowianPP from Mavrik Bourque, Esa Lindell | 2–3 | 53% → 83% |
| P3 18:40 | CHI | Connor BedardPP from Teuvo Teravainen, Frank Nazar | 3–3 | 6% → 50% |
| OT 0:22 | DAL | Miro Heiskanen from Matt Duchene | 3–4 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 20:19 | 1 | +0.75 | +0.09 | +0.67 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Sam Rinzel D | 22:20 | 1 | +0.66 | +0.08 | +0.59 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Bedard C | 19:33 | 1 | +0.63 | −0.08 | +0.59 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.19 | −0.07 | |
| Oliver Moore C | 1:49 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 18:22 | 2 | −0.04 | +0.19 | −0.26 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Landon Slaggert L | 10:24 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 23:03 | −0.06 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 15:11 | −0.14 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Frank Nazar C | 18:48 | 2 | −0.22 | +0.09 | −0.28 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Nick Lardis L | 10:08 | −0.25 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 17:27 | −0.25 | −0.26 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Donato C | 14:09 | −0.25 | −0.04 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Andrew Mangiapane L | 12:11 | −0.28 | −0.12 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Artyom Levshunov D | 18:00 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.27 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Louis Crevier D | 19:28 | −0.33 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Greene C | 18:34 | −0.33 | −0.26 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 20:25 | −0.33 | −0.11 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Andre Burakovsky L | 15:30 | −0.34 | −0.18 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Arvid Soderblom G | 59:56 | +0.21 |
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavrik Bourque C | 17:20 | 1 | 1 | +0.77 | +0.29 | +0.49 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Nathan Bastian R | 11:32 | 1 | +0.66 | +0.04 | +0.65 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Miro Heiskanen D | 24:26 | 1 | +0.60 | +0.10 | +0.50 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Justin Hryckowian C | 14:28 | 1 | +0.55 | +0.19 | +0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.05 | |
| Jason Robertson L | 19:55 | +0.22 | +0.25 | −0.28 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Thomas Harley D | 23:18 | +0.16 | +0.21 | −0.06 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Lian Bichsel D | 13:45 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.14 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Bunting L | 14:43 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.20 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Nils Lundkvist D | 17:47 | +0.10 | +0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Benn L | 17:16 | +0.06 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Erne L | 11:38 | +0.05 | −0.01 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Tyler Myers D | 13:05 | −0.01 | +0.07 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Esa Lindell D | 23:23 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.03 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Oskar Bäck C | 11:36 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.08 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Duchene C | 19:48 | 1 | −0.16 | +0.07 | −0.35 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.09 | |
| Sam Steel C | 15:32 | −0.25 | −0.10 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Johnston C | 19:20 | −0.34 | +0.16 | −0.36 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.04 | ||
| Colin Blackwell C | 11:04 | −0.46 | −0.10 | −0.36 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Casey DeSmith G | 59:32 | −0.80 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.