PIT beat BOS 5–4 in overtime. PIT also won the expected-goals battle 4.0 to 2.4: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Tommy Novak scored at 0:17 of overtime, moving PIT’s win probability from 52% to 100%. Arturs Silovs allowed 1.6 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–PIT | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 9:27 |  BOS | Pavel ZachaPP from Morgan Geekie, Charlie McAvoy | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P2 8:47 | BOS | Pavel Zacha from Viktor Arvidsson, Jonathan Aspirot | 2–0 | 68% → 84% |
| P2 12:23 | BOS | David Pastrnak unassisted | 3–0 | 85% → 96% |
| P2 14:44 |  PIT | Egor ChinakhovPP from Rickard Rakell, Erik Karlsson | 3–1 | 5% → 14% |
| P3 6:02 | PIT | Connor Dewar from Ryan Shea | 3–2 | 7% → 24% |
| P3 6:35 | PIT | Anthony Mantha from Tommy Novak, Ilya Solovyov | 3–3 | 23% → 52% |
| P3 8:34 | BOS | Pavel Zacha from Viktor Arvidsson, Jonathan Aspirot | 4–3 | 48% → 79% |
| P3 11:18 | PIT | Anthony Mantha from Parker Wotherspoon, Erik Karlsson | 4–4 | 19% → 52% |
| OT 0:17 | PIT | Tommy Novak unassisted | 4–5 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavel Zacha C | 16:59 | 3 | +2.01 | −0.29 | +2.25 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | |
| David Pastrnak R | 21:25 | 1 | +0.16 | −0.52 | +0.62 | +0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Casey Mittelstadt C | 15:00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Kastelic C | 9:37 | −0.04 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 9:37 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 14:34 | 2 | −0.09 | +0.03 | −0.13 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrew Peeke D | 16:37 | −0.13 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Eyssimont C | 11:51 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Jeannot L | 11:03 | −0.14 | −0.13 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikita Zadorov D | 20:02 | −0.16 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Fraser Minten C | 17:56 | −0.16 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Mason Lohrei D | 18:21 | −0.16 | −0.07 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Elias Lindholm C | 19:35 | −0.17 | −0.26 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Hampus Lindholm D | 22:04 | −0.25 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Marat Khusnutdinov C | 13:11 | −0.26 | −0.17 | −0.27 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Aspirot D | 14:25 | 2 | −0.28 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Charlie McAvoy D | 24:26 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.34 | −0.21 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Morgan Geekie C | 19:08 | 1 | −0.52 | −0.22 | −0.29 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo G | 60:17 | −1.00 |
PIT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mantha R | 15:14 | 2 | +1.51 | −0.06 | +1.58 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Dewar C | 15:49 | 1 | +1.15 | +0.43 | +0.74 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tommy Novak C | 15:23 | 1 | 1 | +0.74 | +0.10 | +0.65 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Egor Chinakhov R | 16:18 | 1 | +0.59 | +0.19 | +0.60 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Samuel Girard D | 18:04 | +0.14 | +0.31 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Shea D | 19:52 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.11 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ben Kindel C | 11:47 | +0.12 | −0.03 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.03 | ||
| Ville Koivunen R | 14:04 | +0.04 | +0.06 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noel Acciari C | 14:59 | +0.02 | +0.38 | −0.36 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Blake Lizotte C | 15:52 | −0.05 | +0.28 | −0.25 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Erik Karlsson D | 24:20 | 2 | −0.06 | +0.54 | −0.77 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Rickard Rakell R | 15:56 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.07 | −0.15 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Parker Wotherspoon D | 21:19 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.15 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Ilya Solovyov D | 14:12 | 1 | −0.10 | +0.11 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Kris Letang D | 20:47 | −0.16 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bryan Rust R | 19:12 | −0.22 | +0.14 | −0.35 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Elmer Soderblom L | 10:21 | −0.25 | −0.03 | −0.23 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Avery Hayes R | 9:34 | −0.28 | −0.02 | −0.24 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs G | 60:17 | −1.58 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.