WPG beat CHI 3–2 in overtime. WPG also won the expected-goals battle 2.6 to 2.0: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Mark Scheifele scored at 2:06 of overtime, moving WPG’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–WPG | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 3:59 |  WPG | Dylan Samberg from Mark Scheifele, Kyle Connor | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 18:48 | CHI | Teuvo TeravainenPP from Frank Nazar, Connor Bedard | 1–1 | 29% → 48% |
| P3 0:32 | CHI | Ryan Greene from Connor Bedard, Sam Rinzel | 2–1 | 48% → 73% |
| P3 19:21 | WPG | Cole PerfettiPP from Mark Scheifele, Logan Stanley | 2–2 | 5% → 51% |
| OT 2:06 | WPG | Mark Scheifele from Dylan Samberg | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Greene C | 15:17 | 1 | +0.85 | −0.02 | +0.86 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 17:43 | 1 | +0.73 | −0.06 | +0.78 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 16:55 | +0.17 | +0.15 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Moore C | 11:00 | +0.10 | +0.08 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Ryan Donato C | 15:18 | +0.09 | +0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andre Burakovsky L | 14:05 | +0.09 | +0.10 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ethan Del Mastro D | 15:07 | +0.06 | +0.15 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Artyom Levshunov D | 18:47 | +0.06 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Foligno L | 12:00 | −0.03 | +0.05 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Frank Nazar C | 18:30 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Landon Slaggert L | 11:51 | −0.17 | +0.05 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Rinzel D | 22:19 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.18 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 15:44 | −0.27 | −0.22 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Louis Crevier D | 20:13 | −0.43 | −0.35 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Dickinson C | 15:07 | −0.47 | −0.38 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 25:47 | −0.51 | −0.54 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 17:16 | −0.71 | −0.33 | −0.39 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Bedard C | 19:19 | 2 | −1.06 | −0.32 | −0.48 | +0.01 | −0.03 | −0.19 | −0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight G | 62:06 | +0.15 |
WPG
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Samberg D | 22:14 | 1 | 1 | +1.09 | +0.10 | +0.80 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 |
| Cole Perfetti C | 16:21 | 1 | +0.81 | +0.10 | +0.71 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mark Scheifele C | 23:30 | 1 | 2 | +0.45 | +0.50 | −0.04 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 |
| Elias Salomonsson D | 21:43 | +0.22 | +0.41 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Logan Stanley D | 26:44 | 1 | +0.21 | +0.32 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Cole Koepke L | 10:14 | +0.16 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan DeMelo D | 20:20 | +0.06 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Toews C | 13:34 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Alex Iafallo L | 17:14 | −0.03 | +0.30 | −0.32 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gustav Nyquist R | 13:06 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Walker Duehr R | 9:47 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Connor L | 21:32 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.43 | −0.48 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Gabriel Vilardi C | 16:30 | −0.09 | +0.03 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Luke Schenn D | 14:52 | −0.12 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Pearson L | 9:42 | −0.15 | −0.04 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Haydn Fleury D | 14:35 | −0.18 | −0.15 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Lowry C | 16:40 | −0.26 | −0.15 | −0.12 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Morgan Barron C | 13:34 | −0.34 | −0.06 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck G | 61:18 | +0.16 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.