COL beat LAK 4–2. COL also won the expected-goals battle 3.3 to 1.4: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Devon Toews scored at 15:05 of the third, moving COL’s win probability from 49% to 87%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | COL–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 4:27 |  COL | Nathan MacKinnon from Martin Necas, Gabriel Landeskog | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 10:13 | COL | Gabriel Landeskog from Brent Burns, Martin Necas | 2–0 | 64% → 77% |
| P1 17:20 | LAK | Brandt ClarkePP from Anze Kopitar | 2–1 | 21% → 35% |
| P2 8:32 | LAK | Angus Booth from Brian Dumoulin, Adrian Kempe | 2–2 | 32% → 53% |
| P3 15:05 | COL | Devon Toews from Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar | 3–2 | 49% → 87% |
| P3 19:58 | COL | Martin NecasEN from Gabriel Landeskog | 4–2 | 97% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
COL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Toews D | 22:29 | 1 | +0.97 | +0.18 | +0.74 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Gabriel Landeskog L | 18:44 | 1 | 2 | +0.68 | +0.25 | +0.39 | +0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Nathan MacKinnon C | 21:07 | 1 | 1 | +0.58 | +0.37 | +0.08 | +0.12 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Sam Malinski D | 19:07 | +0.38 | +0.15 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Martin Necas C | 20:25 | 1 | 2 | +0.34 | +0.25 | −0.13 | +0.06 | −0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 |
| Brent Burns D | 18:13 | 1 | +0.19 | +0.20 | −0.05 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Valeri Nichushkin R | 19:06 | +0.09 | +0.19 | −0.13 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Artturi Lehkonen L | 5:35 | +0.05 | +0.13 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Kulak D | 17:21 | +0.04 | +0.13 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Drury C | 16:03 | +0.00 | +0.06 | −0.07 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Josh Manson D | 17:23 | −0.02 | +0.22 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Gavin Brindley C | 8:38 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cale Makar D | 25:26 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.14 | −0.27 | +0.04 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Zakhar Bardakov C | 10:06 | −0.06 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Parker Kelly C | 16:40 | −0.19 | +0.05 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Ross Colton C | 12:23 | −0.20 | +0.05 | −0.25 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Brock Nelson C | 19:13 | −0.21 | +0.16 | −0.32 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Victor Olofsson R | 14:09 | −0.21 | +0.10 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood G | 60:00 | −0.77 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angus Booth D | 12:18 | 1 | +0.73 | −0.08 | +0.80 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brandt Clarke D | 23:30 | 1 | +0.41 | −0.30 | +0.87 | +0.02 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Jared Wright R | 9:42 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Samuel Helenius C | 11:28 | −0.05 | −0.19 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.19 | −0.04 | ||
| Brian Dumoulin D | 15:02 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joel Edmundson D | 19:39 | −0.11 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Taylor Ward R | 12:01 | −0.15 | −0.15 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Turcotte C | 10:49 | −0.17 | −0.03 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kenny Connors C | 10:14 | −0.17 | +0.02 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 22:35 | −0.18 | −0.22 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Corey Perry R | 17:15 | −0.19 | −0.16 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 20:08 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.25 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Adrian Kempe R | 20:52 | 1 | −0.27 | −0.16 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Laferriere R | 20:18 | −0.29 | −0.34 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Warren Foegele L | 16:11 | −0.30 | −0.28 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Malott L | 10:01 | −0.36 | −0.07 | −0.27 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Cody Ceci D | 24:24 | −0.36 | −0.36 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Artemi Panarin L | 22:24 | −0.37 | −0.27 | −0.15 | +0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Forsberg G | 71:00 | +0.31 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.