SJS beat WPG 2–1 in overtime. SJS also won the expected-goals battle 3.1 to 2.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Michael Misa scored at 1:40 of overtime, moving SJS’s win probability from 52% to 100%. Alex Nedeljkovic saved 1.6 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WPG–SJS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 2:44 |  WPG | Morgan Barron from Tanner Pearson, Cole Koepke | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P3 1:47 | SJS | Will Smith from Collin Graf, Macklin Celebrini | 1–1 | 26% → 52% |
| OT 1:40 | SJS | Michael Misa from William Eklund, Sam Dickinson | 1–2 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WPG
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Barron C | 16:17 | 1 | +0.70 | −0.03 | +0.71 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Dylan DeMelo D | 23:20 | +0.47 | +0.21 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Gabriel Vilardi C | 19:43 | +0.14 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Koepke L | 14:09 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.06 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mark Scheifele C | 22:51 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Elias Salomonsson D | 18:47 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Iafallo L | 14:04 | −0.09 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Samberg D | 24:12 | −0.11 | −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Schenn D | 13:13 | −0.23 | −0.19 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Walker Duehr R | 8:20 | −0.27 | −0.11 | −0.15 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Haydn Fleury D | 12:47 | −0.28 | −0.28 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Logan Stanley D | 23:50 | −0.30 | +0.09 | −0.38 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Toews C | 9:50 | −0.35 | −0.16 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Gustav Nyquist R | 10:36 | −0.37 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Lowry C | 15:58 | −0.38 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Connor L | 23:08 | −0.46 | −0.05 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Pearson L | 12:41 | 1 | −0.50 | −0.01 | −0.45 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Cole Perfetti C | 17:34 | −0.88 | −0.10 | −0.78 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck G | 71:25 | +1.57 |
SJS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Misa C | 15:39 | 1 | +0.69 | +0.10 | +0.61 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Will Smith C | 18:36 | 1 | +0.66 | +0.10 | +0.36 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Vincent Desharnais D | 18:19 | +0.29 | +0.14 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Macklin Celebrini C | 19:58 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Sam Dickinson D | 18:36 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.29 | −0.21 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| John Klingberg D | 19:41 | +0.08 | −0.09 | −0.03 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Zack Ostapchuk C | 11:05 | +0.05 | +0.06 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Wennberg C | 20:57 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Mario Ferraro D | 21:16 | +0.02 | +0.08 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavol Regenda L | 8:28 | −0.06 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Barclay Goodrow C | 11:53 | −0.07 | +0.12 | −0.18 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Dmitry Orlov D | 20:36 | −0.07 | −0.02 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Shakir Mukhamadullin D | 16:18 | −0.14 | +0.07 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Collin Graf R | 17:16 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Tyler Toffoli C | 13:56 | −0.22 | +0.06 | −0.29 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kiefer Sherwood L | 17:31 | −0.52 | −0.04 | −0.28 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Philipp Kurashev C | 17:07 | −0.53 | −0.05 | −0.28 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| William Eklund L | 15:33 | 1 | −0.59 | +0.08 | −0.67 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Nedeljkovic G | 61:40 | +1.61 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.