VAN beat ANA 2–0. VAN lost the expected-goals battle 2.7 to 3.6 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Drew O'Connor scored at 10:18 of the third, moving VAN’s win probability from 52% to 83%. Nikita Tolopilo saved 3.9 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ANA–VAN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P3 10:18 | VAN | Drew O'Connor from Jake DeBrusk | 0–1 | 52% → 83% |
| P3 19:32 | VAN | Teddy BluegerEN from Filip Hronek | 0–2 | 97% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikael Granlund C | 22:31 | +0.37 | +0.32 | −0.06 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.08 | ||
| Radko Gudas D | 15:14 | +0.31 | +0.28 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Olen Zellweger D | 16:26 | +0.15 | +0.31 | −0.35 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Mintyukov D | 20:26 | +0.15 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ian Moore D | 9:10 | +0.00 | +0.08 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ross Johnston L | 9:56 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cutter Gauthier L | 20:01 | −0.05 | +0.06 | −0.32 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Jansen Harkins C | 11:35 | −0.06 | +0.07 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Beckett Sennecke R | 21:00 | −0.09 | +0.31 | −0.39 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Killorn L | 19:37 | −0.09 | +0.12 | −0.21 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Trouba D | 25:13 | −0.15 | −0.10 | −0.08 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Colangelo R | 9:29 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jackson LaCombe D | 25:07 | −0.23 | +0.04 | −0.24 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tim Washe C | 9:42 | −0.28 | −0.03 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.07 | ||
| Drew Helleson D | 14:13 | −0.32 | −0.05 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeffrey Viel L | 13:25 | −0.46 | +0.00 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Kreider L | 16:35 | −0.48 | +0.13 | −0.61 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Poehling C | 18:19 | −0.54 | −0.18 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal G | 66:41 | +1.05 |
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew O'Connor L | 14:27 | 1 | +0.84 | −0.01 | +0.88 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Elias Pettersson C | 17:49 | +0.13 | +0.07 | −0.22 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.04 | ||
| Filip Hronek D | 27:00 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.15 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Filip Chytil C | 14:59 | +0.06 | +0.10 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Aatu Räty C | 12:54 | −0.04 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Elias Pettersson D | 17:37 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Liam Ohgren L | 10:38 | −0.11 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Pierre-Olivier Joseph D | 13:01 | −0.11 | −0.02 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Lekkerimäki R | 13:27 | −0.13 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Conor Garland R | 19:50 | −0.15 | +0.04 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| David Kampf C | 15:32 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.11 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Marcus Pettersson D | 23:59 | −0.24 | −0.26 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tom Willander D | 15:32 | −0.25 | −0.23 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Myers D | 17:39 | −0.27 | −0.02 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Linus Karlsson C | 15:18 | −0.32 | +0.03 | −0.34 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Evander Kane L | 15:55 | −0.45 | −0.05 | −0.39 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Teddy Blueger C | 15:01 | 1 | −0.46 | −0.44 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Jake DeBrusk L | 16:27 | 1 | −0.75 | +0.05 | −0.62 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Nikita Tolopilo G | 57:49 | +3.92 |
| Kevin Lankinen G | 2:11 | +0.02 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.