MIN beat DET 4–3 in overtime. MIN also won the expected-goals battle 3.2 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov scored at 0:45 of overtime, moving MIN’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DET–MIN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 4:39 |  DET | Lucas RaymondPP from Moritz Seider, Dylan Larkin | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 17:19 | MIN | Kirill KaprizovPP from Mats Zuccarello, Quinn Hughes | 1–1 | 36% → 53% |
| P2 16:22 | DET | Lucas Raymond from Marco Kasper | 2–1 | 47% → 71% |
| P3 0:37 | MIN | Mats Zuccarello from Quinn Hughes, Brock Faber | 2–2 | 27% → 52% |
| P3 5:36 | DET | James van Riemsdyk from Emmitt Finnie, Travis Hamonic | 3–2 | 48% → 76% |
| P3 6:11 | MIN | Mats Zuccarello from Ryan Hartman, Kirill Kaprizov | 3–3 | 23% → 52% |
| OT 0:45 | MIN | Kirill Kaprizov from Quinn Hughes | 3–4 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Raymond L | 18:10 | 2 | +1.89 | +0.11 | +1.58 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| James van Riemsdyk L | 10:35 | 1 | +0.71 | −0.09 | +0.80 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Marco Kasper C | 17:29 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.06 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Moritz Seider D | 27:38 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.05 | −0.08 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Emmitt Finnie C | 10:02 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.07 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Mason Appleton C | 12:30 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Alex DeBrincat R | 17:57 | −0.09 | +0.02 | −0.15 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 15:53 | −0.12 | +0.12 | −0.30 | +0.08 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Axel Sandin-Pellikka D | 12:31 | −0.13 | +0.02 | −0.11 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Albert Johansson D | 20:11 | −0.14 | +0.07 | −0.17 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Larkin C | 23:32 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.24 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.08 | |
| Ben Chiarot D | 21:56 | −0.18 | −0.08 | −0.09 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Rasmussen C | 12:51 | −0.26 | −0.09 | −0.17 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jacob Bernard-Docker D | 19:14 | −0.27 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Elmer Soderblom L | 12:08 | −0.27 | −0.05 | −0.23 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Copp C | 20:02 | −0.31 | −0.12 | −0.29 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| J.T. Compher L | 11:27 | −0.31 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.03 | −0.19 | +0.04 | ||
| Travis Hamonic D | 17:04 | 1 | −0.50 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.39 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Cam Talbot G | 60:45 | −0.03 |
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mats Zuccarello C | 23:01 | 2 | 1 | +1.66 | +0.10 | +1.54 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 |
| Kirill Kaprizov L | 25:38 | 2 | 1 | +1.07 | +0.14 | +0.88 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Danila Yurov R | 14:13 | +0.56 | +0.22 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.39 | −0.03 | ||
| Yakov Trenin C | 13:52 | +0.14 | +0.15 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jared Spurgeon D | 20:38 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Daemon Hunt D | 14:53 | +0.04 | +0.17 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nico Sturm C | 12:08 | −0.01 | +0.18 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Tyler Pitlick C | 10:23 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Jiricek D | 10:44 | −0.05 | +0.08 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vinnie Hinostroza C | 10:48 | −0.07 | +0.03 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marcus Johansson L | 16:34 | −0.08 | −0.17 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Quinn Hughes D | 29:55 | 3 | −0.17 | +0.02 | −0.20 | +0.07 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Hartman R | 22:25 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.35 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.04 | |
| Brock Faber D | 25:24 | 1 | −0.20 | +0.01 | −0.24 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Vladimir Tarasenko R | 17:59 | −0.25 | −0.15 | −0.12 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marcus Foligno L | 10:54 | −0.25 | +0.03 | −0.07 | −0.03 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Middleton D | 21:15 | −0.35 | −0.15 | −0.20 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Eriksson Ek C | 19:48 | −0.90 | −0.05 | −0.60 | +0.02 | +0.04 | −0.19 | −0.11 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson G | 60:45 | −0.41 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.