BOS beat CHI 5–2. Expected goals were close to even (BOS 2.7, CHI 2.5), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Viktor Arvidsson scored at 19:14 of the second, moving BOS’s win probability from 48% to 72%. Arvid Soderblom allowed 2.1 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 16:14 | CHI | Ryan Greene from Andre Burakovsky, Connor Bedard | 0–1 | 54% → 71% |
| P1 18:14 | CHI | Wyatt Kaiser from Nick Foligno | 0–2 | 71% → 85% |
| P2 1:55 | BOS | Charlie McAvoy from Elias Lindholm, David Pastrnak | 1–2 | 14% → 28% |
| P2 14:51 | BOS | Mason Lohrei from Hampus Lindholm, Pavel Zacha | 2–2 | 25% → 47% |
| P2 19:14 | BOS | Viktor Arvidsson from Pavel Zacha, Casey Mittelstadt | 3–2 | 48% → 72% |
| P3 9:01 | BOS | Mason LohreiPP from Fraser Minten, Casey Mittelstadt | 4–2 | 80% → 95% |
| P3 11:02 | BOS | Marat Khusnutdinov from David Pastrnak, Elias Lindholm | 5–2 | 96% → 99% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Lohrei D | 17:21 | 2 | +1.70 | +0.03 | +1.66 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Charlie McAvoy D | 21:32 | 1 | +1.00 | +0.26 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Marat Khusnutdinov C | 14:21 | 1 | +0.72 | +0.05 | +0.68 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 14:46 | 1 | +0.51 | +0.20 | +0.31 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Morgan Geekie C | 17:29 | +0.16 | +0.09 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Aspirot D | 15:22 | +0.14 | +0.13 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Hampus Lindholm D | 20:03 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.11 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Henri Jokiharju D | 23:07 | +0.07 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Elias Lindholm C | 18:28 | 2 | +0.04 | +0.16 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Sean Kuraly C | 14:05 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Casey Mittelstadt C | 14:43 | 2 | −0.01 | +0.15 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Alex Steeves C | 11:26 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Kastelic C | 11:17 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Pavel Zacha C | 16:08 | 2 | −0.09 | +0.22 | −0.34 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Fraser Minten C | 14:17 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.04 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| David Pastrnak R | 20:47 | 2 | −0.14 | +0.06 | −0.22 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tanner Jeannot L | 12:18 | −0.21 | +0.03 | −0.23 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikita Zadorov D | 21:31 | −0.29 | +0.06 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo G | 60:00 | +0.03 |
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 22:48 | 1 | +0.59 | −0.23 | +0.84 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Greene C | 18:51 | 1 | +0.29 | −0.20 | +0.51 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 19:56 | +0.19 | +0.05 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 16:33 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Murphy D | 15:26 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 17:05 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Donato C | 15:14 | −0.05 | +0.04 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Lardis L | 13:22 | −0.07 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Dickinson C | 15:37 | −0.07 | +0.02 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Louis Crevier D | 18:44 | −0.09 | +0.02 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Foligno L | 10:33 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 18:19 | −0.12 | −0.04 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Dach C | 10:00 | −0.13 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Moore C | 13:50 | −0.16 | −0.06 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Landon Slaggert L | 10:39 | −0.17 | −0.11 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andre Burakovsky L | 19:39 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Artyom Levshunov D | 25:42 | −0.66 | −0.32 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.05 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Bedard C | 20:48 | 1 | −0.94 | −0.25 | −0.67 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Arvid Soderblom G | 55:28 | −2.08 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.