NYR beat PHI 6–3. NYR also won the expected-goals battle 3.7 to 2.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Mika Zibanejad scored at 7:26 of the first, moving NYR’s win probability from 47% to 63%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYR–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 6:22 | PHI | Travis Konecny from Trevor Zegras, Travis Sanheim | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 7:05 | NYR | Artemi Panarin from Vincent Trocheck, Alexis Lafrenière | 1–1 | 30% → 47% |
| P1 7:26 | NYR | Mika Zibanejad from J.T. Miller, Braden Schneider | 2–1 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 8:25 | NYR | Brennan Othmann from Will Cuylle | 3–1 | 63% → 76% |
| P2 5:38 | NYR | Mika ZibanejadPP from Artemi Panarin, Vincent Trocheck | 4–1 | 83% → 94% |
| P2 8:25 | NYR | Mika Zibanejad from J.T. Miller, Scott Morrow | 5–1 | 95% → 99% |
| P2 14:31 | NYR | Artemi Panarin from Alexis Lafrenière | 6–1 | 99% → 99% |
| P2 16:48 | PHI | Travis SanheimSH from Travis Konecny | 6–2 | 1% → 1% |
| P3 8:01 | PHI | Trevor Zegras from Denver Barkey, Owen Tippett | 6–3 | 0% → 1% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mika Zibanejad C | 20:02 | 3 | +2.48 | +0.10 | +2.34 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Artemi Panarin L | 20:56 | 2 | 1 | +1.48 | +0.10 | +1.29 | +0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Brennan Othmann L | 12:19 | 1 | +0.78 | +0.04 | +0.74 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matthew Robertson D | 20:38 | +0.41 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.39 | +0.00 | ||
| Braden Schneider D | 22:01 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.12 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 23:37 | +0.09 | +0.11 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Carrick C | 10:51 | +0.03 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Will Borgen D | 17:43 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonny Brodzinski C | 7:30 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Taylor Raddysh R | 7:52 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| J.T. Miller C | 18:59 | 2 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.04 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Urho Vaakanainen D | 14:01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Morrow D | 16:13 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.08 | −0.15 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Noah Laba C | 16:21 | −0.11 | +0.06 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Alexis Lafrenière L | 14:05 | 2 | −0.15 | +0.03 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Will Cuylle L | 16:38 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.04 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.03 | |
| Vincent Trocheck C | 20:45 | 2 | −0.28 | +0.11 | −0.43 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Gabe Perreault R | 15:29 | −0.35 | +0.08 | −0.43 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Martin G | 60:00 | −0.40 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Sanheim D | 24:00 | 1 | 1 | +0.69 | −0.10 | +0.78 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Trevor Zegras C | 19:12 | 1 | 1 | +0.42 | −0.06 | +0.51 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.08 |
| Travis Konecny R | 18:52 | 1 | 1 | +0.36 | −0.12 | +0.48 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Jamie Drysdale D | 19:20 | +0.05 | −0.05 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Garnet Hathaway R | 12:46 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Emil Andrae D | 16:42 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rodrigo Abols C | 1:19 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Juulsen D | 17:14 | −0.04 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Cates L | 14:42 | −0.07 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 20:31 | −0.11 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Denver Barkey C | 14:12 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.06 | −0.18 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nikita Grebenkin R | 13:53 | −0.26 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Carl Grundstrom R | 13:55 | −0.26 | −0.02 | −0.23 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 14:20 | −0.28 | −0.09 | −0.17 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Cam York D | 22:00 | −0.31 | −0.17 | −0.13 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matvei Michkov R | 16:11 | −0.33 | −0.05 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Owen Tippett R | 16:42 | 1 | −0.39 | −0.17 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Christian Dvorak C | 16:15 | −0.40 | −0.06 | −0.33 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ersson G | 51:35 | −0.67 |
| Aleksei Kolosov G | 8:25 | −2.53 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.