ANA beat LAK 3–2 in a shootout. ANA lost the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 3.3 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Tim Washe scored at 14:56 of the second, moving ANA’s win probability from 25% to 47%. Lukas Dostal saved 1.2 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ANA–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 1:38 | LAK | Quinton Byfield from Joel Armia | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P2 11:33 | LAK | Joel Armia from Andre Lee | 0–2 | 75% → 89% |
| P2 12:12 | ANA | Ryan Strome from Jackson LaCombe, Beckett Sennecke | 1–2 | 11% → 26% |
| P2 14:56 | ANA | Tim Washe from Jacob Trouba, Beckett Sennecke | 2–2 | 25% → 47% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Washe C | 13:51 | 1 | +0.99 | +0.22 | +0.79 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Mason McTavish C | 13:28 | +0.81 | −0.06 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +1.01 | ||
| Ryan Strome C | 13:05 | 1 | +0.77 | −0.12 | +0.84 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.00 | |
| Beckett Sennecke R | 23:59 | 2 | +0.51 | +0.30 | −0.75 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.79 | |
| Jacob Trouba D | 26:14 | 1 | +0.37 | +0.34 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jackson LaCombe D | 27:06 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.26 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ian Moore D | 13:37 | +0.09 | +0.11 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Olen Zellweger D | 20:16 | +0.07 | +0.11 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Radko Gudas D | 19:20 | +0.07 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Poehling C | 19:03 | −0.15 | −0.08 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.00 | ||
| Cutter Gauthier L | 8:54 | −0.16 | −0.11 | −0.25 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Jansen Harkins C | 12:31 | −0.17 | −0.16 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Ross Johnston L | 12:28 | −0.18 | +0.17 | −0.14 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Sam Colangelo R | 10:42 | −0.24 | −0.14 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Pavel Mintyukov D | 18:00 | −0.25 | −0.22 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Helleson D | 11:32 | −0.30 | −0.19 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Killorn L | 20:07 | −0.46 | +0.03 | −0.27 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Mikael Granlund C | 22:47 | −0.61 | +0.17 | −0.43 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.06 | −0.32 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal G | 65:00 | +1.22 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandt Clarke D | 22:12 | +0.41 | −0.21 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.79 | ||
| Quinton Byfield R | 21:23 | 1 | +0.35 | −0.11 | +0.44 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Joel Armia R | 15:27 | 1 | 1 | +0.19 | +0.07 | +0.11 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 |
| Cody Ceci D | 18:36 | +0.10 | +0.09 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Malott L | 11:35 | +0.05 | +0.06 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 19:26 | +0.04 | +0.05 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Turcotte C | 13:13 | +0.01 | +0.11 | −0.11 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Samuel Helenius C | 10:18 | −0.05 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Taylor Ward R | 11:02 | −0.09 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Brian Dumoulin D | 17:22 | −0.12 | +0.08 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Warren Foegele L | 14:07 | −0.12 | +0.15 | −0.26 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 17:05 | −0.14 | −0.14 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 24:18 | −0.18 | −0.05 | −0.11 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrei Kuzmenko L | 17:26 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Andre Lee L | 11:28 | 1 | −0.27 | −0.17 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Alex Laferriere R | 21:12 | −0.40 | −0.18 | −0.18 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 20:36 | −0.67 | −0.25 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 | ||
| Kevin Fiala L | 22:14 | −0.73 | −0.10 | −0.53 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.39 | +0.00 | −0.49 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper G | 65:00 | −0.69 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.