VGK beat LAK 3–2 in overtime. VGK lost the expected-goals battle 2.1 to 2.8 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Mark Stone scored at 0:25 of overtime, moving VGK’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VGK–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 3:56 | VGK | Braeden Bowman from Jack Eichel, Shea Theodore | 1–0 | 47% → 67% |
| P3 6:24 |  LAK | Kevin Fiala from Alex Turcotte, Andrei Kuzmenko | 1–1 | 23% → 52% |
| P3 12:07 | VGK | Mitch MarnerPP from Mark Stone, Jack Eichel | 2–1 | 50% → 82% |
| P3 18:33 | LAK | Brandt ClarkePP from Adrian Kempe, Kevin Fiala | 2–2 | 7% → 50% |
| OT 0:25 | VGK | Mark Stone from Jack Eichel | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Bowman R | 13:46 | 1 | +0.74 | +0.14 | +0.60 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mark Stone R | 19:58 | 1 | 1 | +0.41 | −0.06 | +0.42 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Mitch Marner R | 16:35 | 1 | +0.39 | −0.20 | +0.58 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Shea Theodore D | 23:37 | 1 | +0.32 | +0.14 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Keegan Kolesar R | 13:41 | +0.23 | +0.06 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeremy Lauzon D | 21:59 | +0.04 | +0.07 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Holtz R | 10:54 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Reinhardt L | 12:04 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Hutton D | 13:05 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Barbashev L | 18:21 | −0.18 | −0.11 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Kaedan Korczak D | 15:56 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.20 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Dorofeyev L | 16:02 | −0.23 | −0.17 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Reilly Smith R | 14:02 | −0.23 | −0.23 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Tomas Hertl C | 15:34 | −0.24 | +0.04 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Noah Hanifin D | 21:03 | −0.31 | −0.30 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Whitecloud D | 20:44 | −0.31 | −0.34 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Sissons C | 12:59 | −0.40 | +0.00 | −0.43 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Jack Eichel C | 19:01 | 3 | −0.62 | −0.03 | −0.35 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.09 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Akira Schmid G | 60:19 | +0.61 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandt Clarke D | 19:34 | 1 | +1.04 | +0.47 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Fiala L | 22:25 | 1 | 1 | +0.59 | +0.23 | +0.54 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Joel Edmundson D | 18:51 | +0.24 | +0.24 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrei Kuzmenko L | 17:44 | 1 | +0.22 | +0.31 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Quinton Byfield R | 20:32 | +0.09 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 23:29 | +0.07 | −0.05 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Moverare D | 0:22 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Warren Foegele L | 15:53 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cody Ceci D | 16:15 | −0.09 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 22:11 | −0.09 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Samuel Helenius C | 9:22 | −0.10 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Andre Lee L | 12:08 | −0.10 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Laferriere R | 20:28 | −0.12 | +0.05 | −0.18 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Alex Turcotte C | 14:47 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.10 | −0.25 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Taylor Ward R | 14:31 | −0.15 | −0.06 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Brian Dumoulin D | 17:21 | −0.21 | −0.14 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Malott L | 13:18 | −0.32 | +0.05 | −0.36 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 19:33 | 1 | −0.47 | +0.26 | −0.53 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper G | 60:12 | −0.09 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.