CHI beat NSH 3–0. CHI lost the expected-goals battle 2.1 to 3.5 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Tyler Bertuzzi scored on the power play at 6:41 of the second, moving CHI’s win probability from 48% to 67%. Drew Commesso saved 3.6 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–NSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 6:41 | CHI | Tyler BertuzziPP from Connor Bedard, Artyom Levshunov | 1–0 | 48% → 67% |
| P3 11:01 | CHI | Nick Lardis from Connor Bedard, Kevin Korchinski | 2–0 | 80% → 96% |
| P3 18:32 | CHI | Ryan GreeneEN from Tyler Bertuzzi | 3–0 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Lardis L | 12:44 | 1 | +0.76 | +0.04 | +0.73 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 15:50 | 1 | 1 | +0.59 | +0.04 | +0.57 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Jason Dickinson C | 15:57 | +0.20 | +0.00 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.08 | ||
| Ryan Donato C | 12:15 | +0.15 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Artyom Levshunov D | 23:32 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.07 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 16:49 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 16:09 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.20 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.02 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 17:46 | −0.05 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 17:55 | −0.07 | +0.13 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Foligno L | 11:29 | −0.08 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Connor Murphy D | 21:01 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 20:32 | −0.13 | −0.10 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Moore C | 11:21 | −0.20 | +0.03 | −0.21 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Ryan Greene C | 17:56 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.14 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Landon Slaggert L | 10:14 | −0.24 | −0.06 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andre Burakovsky L | 17:32 | −0.25 | +0.02 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Korchinski D | 14:04 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.03 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Bedard C | 20:54 | 2 | −0.42 | +0.01 | −0.42 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Commesso G | 60:00 | +3.62 |
NSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Bunting L | 16:06 | +0.36 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.39 | +0.00 | ||
| Reid Schaefer L | 9:37 | +0.07 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Perbix D | 18:15 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matthew Wood R | 13:30 | −0.04 | +0.08 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Brady Skjei D | 19:02 | −0.08 | +0.03 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Filip Forsberg L | 20:11 | −0.09 | +0.07 | −0.17 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael McCarron C | 12:43 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Nicolas Hague D | 18:00 | −0.10 | −0.03 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Blankenburg D | 20:04 | −0.11 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Haula L | 15:00 | −0.16 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.03 | ||
| Ryan O'Reilly C | 22:22 | −0.17 | +0.09 | −0.33 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Fedor Svechkov C | 12:44 | −0.18 | +0.03 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.09 | ||
| Adam Wilsby D | 15:52 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Roman Josi D | 25:04 | −0.22 | +0.14 | −0.20 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Steven Stamkos C | 19:59 | −0.27 | +0.01 | −0.29 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyson Jost C | 10:22 | −0.37 | +0.04 | −0.40 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Smith L | 11:20 | −0.49 | +0.00 | −0.28 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Evangelista R | 19:16 | −0.78 | +0.10 | −0.89 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros G | 68:05 | +0.06 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.