WPG beat LAK 5–1. WPG lost the expected-goals battle 2.1 to 3.7 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Vladislav Namestnikov scored at 1:31 of the first, moving WPG’s win probability from 53% to 69%. Darcy Kuemper allowed 3.5 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–WPG | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 1:31 | WPG | Vladislav Namestnikov from Logan Stanley, Nino Niederreiter | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 18:05 | WPG | Cole Koepke from Dylan Samberg, Tanner Pearson | 0–2 | 72% → 85% |
| P2 2:07 | WPG | Jonathan Toews from Colin Miller, Cole Perfetti | 0–3 | 86% → 94% |
| P2 9:32 | LAK | Quinton Byfield from Taylor Ward, Warren Foegele | 1–3 | 4% → 12% |
| P2 12:35 | WPG | Mark ScheifelePP from Kyle Connor, Gabriel Vilardi | 1–4 | 90% → 97% |
| P2 19:17 | WPG | Mark Scheifele from Cole Perfetti, Gabriel Vilardi | 1–5 | 98% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinton Byfield R | 20:21 | 1 | +0.81 | +0.00 | +0.58 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.03 | |
| Jacob Moverare D | 6:34 | +0.06 | +0.06 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cody Ceci D | 17:13 | +0.06 | +0.05 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Taylor Ward R | 15:30 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.06 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Mikey Anderson D | 17:37 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andre Lee L | 12:23 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Warren Foegele L | 15:38 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joel Edmundson D | 15:36 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 21:28 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandt Clarke D | 20:26 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrei Kuzmenko L | 19:49 | −0.08 | −0.09 | −0.20 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Brian Dumoulin D | 16:17 | −0.09 | +0.02 | −0.10 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Samuel Helenius C | 11:53 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.20 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Alex Laferriere R | 15:21 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Alex Turcotte C | 16:45 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 19:49 | −0.47 | −0.08 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Malott L | 14:05 | −0.57 | +0.05 | −0.61 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Kevin Fiala L | 20:31 | −0.66 | −0.04 | −0.44 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Forsberg G | 20:00 | +0.19 |
| Darcy Kuemper G | 60:00 | −3.45 |
WPG
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Scheifele C | 20:21 | 2 | +1.62 | −0.02 | +1.54 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.09 | |
| Cole Koepke L | 9:54 | 1 | +0.79 | +0.02 | +0.77 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Vladislav Namestnikov C | 13:42 | 1 | +0.76 | −0.03 | +0.77 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Jonathan Toews C | 15:19 | 1 | +0.73 | −0.03 | +0.70 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Luke Schenn D | 15:45 | +0.16 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Samberg D | 20:47 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tanner Pearson L | 11:42 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dylan DeMelo D | 23:54 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.04 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Danil Zhilkin C | 10:27 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Alex Iafallo L | 18:32 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colin Miller D | 16:02 | 1 | −0.03 | +0.04 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Gabriel Vilardi C | 16:33 | 2 | −0.05 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Lowry C | 14:16 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Josh Morrissey D | 23:06 | −0.15 | −0.03 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Connor L | 20:46 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Cole Perfetti C | 12:46 | 2 | −0.21 | −0.03 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Logan Stanley D | 18:09 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Nino Niederreiter R | 11:59 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.00 | −0.32 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Comrie G | 60:00 | +1.62 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.