CHI beat STL 7–3. Expected goals were close to even (STL 3.2, CHI 3.3), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Connor Murphy scored at 8:57 of the second, moving CHI’s win probability from 53% to 73%. Jordan Binnington allowed 3.7 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | STL–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 0:27 | STL | Tyler Tucker from Brayden Schenn | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P1 9:26 | CHI | Nick LardisPP from Oliver Moore, Matt Grzelcyk | 1–1 | 37% → 53% |
| P2 7:41 | CHI | Oliver MoorePP from Matt Grzelcyk, Nick Foligno | 1–2 | 54% → 73% |
| P2 8:22 | STL | Otto Stenberg unassisted | 2–2 | 27% → 47% |
| P2 8:57 | CHI | Connor Murphy unassisted | 2–3 | 53% → 73% |
| P2 12:27 | CHI | Landon Slaggert from Colton Dach, Connor Murphy | 2–4 | 74% → 89% |
| P2 17:24 | CHI | Jason Dickinson from Louis Crevier | 2–5 | 91% → 98% |
| P3 5:11 | CHI | Andre BurakovskyPP from Ryan Greene, Teuvo Teravainen | 2–6 | 100% → 100% |
| P3 12:56 | CHI | Louis Crevier from Landon Slaggert, Alex Vlasic | 2–7 | 100% → 100% |
| P3 13:19 | STL | Nathan Walker from Alexey Toropchenko, Philip Broberg | 3–7 | 0% → 0% |
Every player
Show both lineups
STL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tucker D | 13:57 | 1 | +0.71 | −0.01 | +0.74 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Otto Stenberg C | 13:55 | 1 | +0.69 | −0.13 | +0.81 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nathan Walker L | 9:51 | 1 | +0.57 | −0.03 | +0.63 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Justin Faulk D | 20:16 | +0.15 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Oskar Sundqvist C | 9:15 | +0.12 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Philip Broberg D | 21:52 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.11 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Cam Fowler D | 22:01 | −0.08 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexey Toropchenko R | 11:16 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.09 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Robert Thomas C | 17:09 | −0.17 | +0.05 | −0.20 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Jake Neighbours L | 15:40 | −0.22 | −0.02 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Colton Parayko D | 18:52 | −0.24 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Buchnevich L | 17:19 | −0.26 | +0.03 | −0.31 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonatan Berggren R | 17:32 | −0.29 | −0.16 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brayden Schenn C | 17:18 | 1 | −0.33 | +0.01 | −0.53 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Logan Mailloux D | 14:19 | −0.35 | −0.15 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Kyrou R | 16:14 | −0.37 | +0.02 | −0.39 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jimmy Snuggerud R | 17:37 | −0.41 | +0.05 | −0.47 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dalibor Dvorsky R | 19:45 | −0.57 | −0.13 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington G | 69:54 | −3.68 |
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Moore C | 14:37 | 1 | 1 | +0.96 | +0.09 | +0.88 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Andre Burakovsky L | 16:09 | 1 | +0.95 | +0.17 | +0.60 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Murphy D | 19:08 | 1 | 1 | +0.89 | +0.23 | +0.84 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Jason Dickinson C | 14:54 | 1 | +0.88 | +0.19 | +0.48 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.02 | |
| Nick Lardis L | 12:20 | 1 | +0.78 | +0.07 | +0.72 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Louis Crevier D | 17:35 | 1 | 1 | +0.69 | −0.01 | +0.71 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Landon Slaggert L | 12:47 | 1 | 1 | +0.67 | −0.11 | +0.80 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 16:59 | 2 | +0.22 | +0.27 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Foligno L | 12:58 | 1 | +0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.09 | |
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 15:27 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.03 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Vlasic D | 17:32 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Colton Dach C | 10:12 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 17:02 | −0.14 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 23:57 | −0.19 | −0.08 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Greene C | 20:05 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.07 | |
| Ryan Donato C | 15:15 | −0.46 | +0.13 | −0.38 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Artyom Levshunov D | 21:09 | −0.55 | −0.03 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.39 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 13:36 | −0.59 | +0.10 | −0.86 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.19 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight G | 89:10 | +0.60 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.