CHI beat VGK 3–2 in overtime. Expected goals were close to even (VGK 2.6, CHI 2.7), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Tyler Bertuzzi scored at 1:18 of overtime, moving CHI’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VGK–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 10:40 |  VGK | Brandon Saad from Brett Howden, Alexander Holtz | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P1 12:38 |  CHI | Tyler Bertuzzi from Alex Vlasic, Andre Burakovsky | 1–1 | 36% → 53% |
| P2 0:43 | VGK | Mark Stone from Jack Eichel, Noah Hanifin | 2–1 | 47% → 66% |
| P3 11:36 | CHI | Tyler Bertuzzi from Ryan Greene, Andre Burakovsky | 2–2 | 18% → 52% |
| OT 1:18 | CHI | Tyler Bertuzzi from Ilya Mikheyev, Artyom Levshunov | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Stone R | 19:56 | 1 | +0.90 | +0.27 | +0.62 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Brandon Saad L | 12:14 | 1 | +0.76 | +0.03 | +0.74 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ben Hutton D | 20:20 | +0.12 | +0.15 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kaedan Korczak D | 20:40 | +0.07 | +0.19 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mitch Marner R | 19:35 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Alexander Holtz R | 11:21 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Jack Eichel C | 21:40 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.12 | −0.10 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Noah Hanifin D | 23:37 | 1 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Keegan Kolesar R | 10:35 | −0.03 | +0.10 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Cole Reinhardt L | 11:15 | −0.03 | +0.07 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tomas Hertl C | 16:14 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeremy Lauzon D | 18:21 | −0.06 | +0.14 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Howden C | 13:29 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ivan Barbashev L | 16:32 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Dorofeyev L | 17:15 | −0.21 | −0.22 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jaycob Megna D | 15:41 | −0.36 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Whitecloud D | 19:16 | −0.37 | −0.38 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Sissons C | 13:17 | −0.45 | +0.02 | −0.50 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Akira Schmid G | 61:18 | −0.75 |
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 19:01 | 3 | +2.45 | +0.43 | +2.05 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Andre Burakovsky L | 18:27 | 2 | +0.11 | +0.15 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Foligno L | 16:09 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 18:09 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Artyom Levshunov D | 23:39 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.24 | −0.24 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Murphy D | 16:09 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 18:44 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Moore C | 13:04 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Nick Lardis L | 11:33 | −0.04 | +0.08 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 17:33 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Landon Slaggert L | 13:28 | −0.08 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Dach C | 11:23 | −0.13 | −0.03 | −0.08 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 21:13 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.17 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jason Dickinson C | 17:06 | −0.16 | −0.20 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Louis Crevier D | 19:41 | −0.26 | −0.24 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 13:54 | −0.27 | +0.00 | −0.28 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Greene C | 14:44 | 1 | −0.31 | +0.14 | −0.41 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Ryan Donato C | 18:06 | −0.31 | −0.07 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Arvid Soderblom G | 71:05 | −0.14 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.