BOS beat VAN 3–2 in overtime. BOS lost the expected-goals battle 3.2 to 3.7 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Fraser Minten scored at 4:41 of overtime, moving BOS’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Jeremy Swayman saved 1.6 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–VAN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 16:24 | BOS | Fraser MintenPP from Alex Steeves, Hampus Lindholm | 1–0 | 48% → 65% |
| P2 0:48 |  VAN | Elias Pettersson from Filip Hronek, Linus Karlsson | 1–1 | 34% → 53% |
| P2 7:25 | BOS | Elias LindholmPP from David Pastrnak, Charlie McAvoy | 2–1 | 48% → 68% |
| P2 18:44 | VAN | Filip HronekPP from Zeev Buium, Evander Kane | 2–2 | 29% → 53% |
| OT 4:41 | BOS | Fraser Minten from David Pastrnak, Mason Lohrei | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fraser Minten C | 21:24 | 2 | +1.22 | +0.07 | +1.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Elias Lindholm C | 19:20 | 1 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.65 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| David Pastrnak R | 23:29 | 2 | +0.18 | +0.15 | −0.20 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Steeves C | 12:29 | 1 | +0.16 | +0.16 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jonathan Aspirot D | 18:09 | +0.13 | +0.12 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Zacha C | 19:41 | +0.08 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.11 | ||
| Mason Lohrei D | 17:05 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Eyssimont C | 6:30 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Charlie McAvoy D | 26:29 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.12 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Morgan Geekie C | 18:46 | −0.10 | +0.22 | −0.33 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Hampus Lindholm D | 23:36 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.09 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Marat Khusnutdinov C | 17:48 | −0.15 | −0.16 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 11:05 | −0.19 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Casey Mittelstadt C | 14:47 | −0.20 | −0.13 | −0.27 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Andrew Peeke D | 18:17 | −0.29 | −0.22 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 14:25 | −0.41 | −0.15 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Kastelic C | 10:56 | −0.49 | −0.11 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.02 | ||
| Nikita Zadorov D | 19:57 | −0.58 | −0.20 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.39 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman G | 72:50 | +1.59 |
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Pettersson C | 20:38 | 1 | +0.93 | +0.30 | +0.59 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Filip Hronek D | 31:03 | 1 | 1 | +0.71 | −0.00 | +0.72 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Linus Karlsson C | 12:19 | 1 | +0.49 | +0.35 | −0.25 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.39 | −0.01 | |
| Zeev Buium D | 17:38 | 1 | +0.36 | +0.42 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kiefer Sherwood L | 22:00 | +0.23 | +0.13 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Aatu Räty C | 12:14 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.05 | ||
| Elias Pettersson D | 10:07 | −0.06 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nils Hoglander L | 12:07 | −0.10 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew O'Connor L | 15:31 | −0.14 | −0.03 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Liam Ohgren L | 12:47 | −0.16 | +0.06 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Evander Kane L | 14:19 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.08 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Tyler Myers D | 19:57 | −0.20 | −0.14 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Kampf C | 16:36 | −0.22 | +0.08 | −0.24 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Tom Willander D | 21:48 | −0.29 | −0.04 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marcus Pettersson D | 21:31 | −0.37 | −0.18 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Max Sasson C | 12:22 | −0.48 | −0.16 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | −0.03 | ||
| Jake DeBrusk L | 20:01 | −0.61 | +0.54 | −1.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock Boeser R | 21:41 | −0.65 | −0.26 | −0.33 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen G | 64:41 | −0.71 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.