LAK beat MIN 5–4 in a shootout. Expected goals were close to even (MIN 3.6, LAK 3.7), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Matt Boldy scored at 17:03 of the third, moving MIN’s win probability from 8% to 49%. Jesper Wallstedt allowed 1.0 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | MIN–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 6:08 | LAK | Adrian Kempe from Anze Kopitar, Alex Laferriere | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 8:28 | MIN | Jake Middleton from Mats Zuccarello, Zach Bogosian | 1–1 | 30% → 47% |
| P2 16:57 | LAK | Corey PerryPP from Quinton Byfield, Brandt Clarke | 1–2 | 53% → 76% |
| P2 18:23 | MIN | Joel Eriksson EkPP from Quinn Hughes | 2–2 | 24% → 47% |
| P3 4:54 | LAK | Quinton Byfield unassisted | 2–3 | 52% → 79% |
| P3 7:33 | MIN | Brock Faber from Danila Yurov, Kirill Kaprizov | 3–3 | 19% → 48% |
| P3 12:09 | LAK | Samuel Helenius from Kevin Fiala, Alex Turcotte | 3–4 | 51% → 85% |
| P3 17:03 | MIN | Matt Boldy from Brock Faber, Marcus Foligno | 4–4 | 8% → 49% |
Every player
Show both lineups
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Boldy L | 22:48 | 1 | +1.69 | +0.38 | +0.30 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.79 | |
| Jake Middleton D | 15:14 | 1 | +0.74 | −0.14 | +0.89 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Quinn Hughes D | 29:05 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.06 | −0.24 | +0.05 | −0.05 | +0.39 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Danila Yurov R | 14:21 | 1 | +0.19 | +0.07 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Brock Faber D | 23:20 | 1 | 1 | +0.13 | −0.03 | +0.52 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.39 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek C | 25:23 | 1 | +0.06 | −0.18 | +0.40 | −0.01 | +0.05 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Jared Spurgeon D | 20:02 | +0.01 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marcus Johansson L | 16:00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jonas Brodin D | 19:23 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Yakov Trenin C | 12:49 | −0.07 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Ryan Hartman R | 14:11 | −0.08 | −0.12 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Zach Bogosian D | 14:26 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Vinnie Hinostroza C | 11:48 | −0.19 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Marcus Foligno L | 12:47 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.05 | −0.15 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Nico Sturm C | 11:04 | −0.22 | −0.09 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Mats Zuccarello C | 19:32 | 1 | −0.30 | +0.25 | −0.26 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.32 | |
| Kirill Kaprizov L | 23:59 | 1 | −0.48 | +0.18 | −0.22 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.49 | |
| Vladimir Tarasenko R | 13:35 | −0.63 | −0.15 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.49 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jesper Wallstedt G | 73:47 | −1.01 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandt Clarke D | 18:31 | 1 | +1.30 | +0.11 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +1.01 | |
| Adrian Kempe R | 24:11 | 1 | +1.08 | −0.18 | +0.47 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.79 | |
| Samuel Helenius C | 6:18 | 1 | +0.89 | +0.07 | +0.83 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Corey Perry R | 12:40 | 1 | +0.45 | −0.04 | +0.48 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Joel Edmundson D | 16:49 | +0.11 | +0.10 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Turcotte C | 13:15 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.17 | −0.12 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.00 | |
| Kevin Fiala L | 24:42 | 1 | −0.10 | +0.64 | −0.61 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | −0.32 | |
| Brian Dumoulin D | 19:42 | −0.10 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Quinton Byfield R | 21:15 | 1 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.08 | +0.11 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.19 | +0.02 | −0.00 |
| Cody Ceci D | 19:14 | −0.13 | −0.11 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrei Kuzmenko L | 13:59 | −0.13 | +0.24 | −0.40 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 25:29 | −0.14 | +0.06 | −0.19 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Malott L | 10:22 | −0.17 | −0.05 | −0.10 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Warren Foegele L | 15:02 | −0.18 | −0.12 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Joel Armia R | 17:39 | −0.29 | −0.03 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 22:52 | −0.35 | −0.35 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Laferriere R | 18:36 | 1 | −0.51 | −0.21 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Anze Kopitar C | 23:24 | 1 | −0.58 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.05 | −0.49 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper G | 76:05 | −0.37 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.