SEA beat VAN 4–3 in a shootout. SEA lost the expected-goals battle 2.4 to 3.8 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Linus Karlsson scored at 6:15 of the third, moving VAN’s win probability from 23% to 52%. Thatcher Demko allowed 1.0 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | SEA–VAN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 17:34 | SEA | Cale Fleury from Jamie Oleksiak, Kaapo Kakko | 1–0 | 47% → 65% |
| P2 8:53 | SEA | Chandler StephensonPP from Jordan Eberle, Jared McCann | 2–0 | 69% → 84% |
| P2 13:06 | VAN | Kiefer SherwoodPP from Jake DeBrusk, Tom Willander | 2–1 | 15% → 31% |
| P2 18:13 | SEA | Ben Meyers from Ryan Winterton, Jacob Melanson | 3–1 | 72% → 88% |
| P2 19:22 | VAN | Jake DeBruskPP from Brock Boeser, Elias Pettersson | 3–2 | 11% → 28% |
| P3 6:15 | VAN | Linus Karlsson from Filip Hronek, Jake DeBrusk | 3–3 | 23% → 52% |
Every player
Show both lineups
SEA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cale Fleury D | 17:55 | 1 | +0.87 | +0.01 | +0.85 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Chandler Stephenson C | 18:30 | 1 | +0.51 | −0.29 | +0.79 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Ben Meyers C | 12:29 | 1 | +0.38 | +0.10 | +0.29 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Matty Beniers C | 20:46 | +0.36 | −0.26 | −0.43 | −0.01 | +0.07 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +1.01 | ||
| Shane Wright C | 17:07 | +0.19 | +0.22 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 17:06 | +0.13 | +0.06 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jared McCann L | 13:23 | 1 | +0.10 | −0.02 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Jacob Melanson R | 12:45 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Ryan Winterton C | 10:51 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.09 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Ryker Evans D | 19:06 | −0.10 | +0.10 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Berkly Catton C | 18:11 | −0.13 | +0.08 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Vince Dunn D | 27:21 | −0.20 | −0.07 | −0.16 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 17:12 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.06 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Lindgren D | 19:41 | −0.33 | −0.34 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Eberle R | 19:41 | 1 | −0.39 | −0.37 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Frederick Gaudreau C | 15:26 | −0.42 | −0.01 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.32 | ||
| Adam Larsson D | 23:59 | −0.66 | −0.41 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kaapo Kakko R | 16:42 | 1 | −0.71 | −0.34 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.38 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord G | 74:29 | +0.72 |
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Karlsson C | 14:31 | 1 | +1.00 | +0.24 | +0.77 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Kiefer Sherwood L | 17:18 | 1 | +0.54 | +0.04 | +0.49 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Filip Hronek D | 28:54 | 1 | +0.45 | +0.61 | −0.17 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Elias Pettersson C | 20:58 | 1 | +0.40 | +0.61 | −0.12 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.03 | −0.38 | |
| Jake DeBrusk L | 19:49 | 1 | 2 | +0.30 | +0.42 | +0.18 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 |
| David Kampf C | 15:23 | +0.16 | +0.16 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Marcus Pettersson D | 23:11 | +0.09 | +0.24 | −0.17 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Evander Kane L | 16:13 | +0.08 | −0.12 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.19 | +0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Tyler Myers D | 20:18 | +0.06 | +0.17 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pierre-Olivier Joseph D | 13:52 | +0.02 | +0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Aatu Räty C | 12:43 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Nils Hoglander L | 11:56 | −0.02 | +0.04 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Drew O'Connor L | 16:33 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Zeev Buium D | 21:11 | −0.13 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock Boeser R | 21:45 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Max Sasson C | 16:10 | −0.29 | −0.12 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Tom Willander D | 18:32 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.27 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Liam Ohgren L | 11:58 | −0.62 | +0.02 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.49 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko G | 65:00 | −1.04 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.