CHI beat DAL 4–3 in a shootout. CHI lost the expected-goals battle 3.0 to 4.6 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Tyler Bertuzzi scored at 12:25 of the third, moving CHI’s win probability from 15% to 49%. Arvid Soderblom saved 2.0 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–DAL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 3:20 | CHI | Tyler Bertuzzi from Alex Vlasic, Landon Slaggert | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P1 11:31 |  DAL | Nils Lundkvist from Mikko Rantanen, Wyatt Johnston | 1–1 | 36% → 53% |
| P2 10:37 | CHI | Jason Dickinson from Artyom Levshunov | 2–1 | 47% → 69% |
| P2 11:32 | DAL | Justin Hryckowian from Wyatt Johnston, Mikko Rantanen | 2–2 | 31% → 53% |
| P3 11:18 | DAL | Mikko Rantanen from Wyatt Johnston, Sam Steel | 2–3 | 52% → 84% |
| P3 12:25 | CHI | Tyler Bertuzzi from Connor Murphy, Alex Vlasic | 3–3 | 15% → 49% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Lardis L | 10:16 | +1.09 | +0.23 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +1.01 | ||
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 20:08 | 2 | +0.99 | −0.20 | +1.20 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Jason Dickinson C | 17:55 | 1 | +0.66 | −0.15 | +0.86 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | −0.00 | |
| Ryan Donato C | 19:45 | +0.28 | −0.36 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | +0.79 | ||
| Colton Dach C | 11:09 | +0.03 | −0.15 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 18:12 | −0.00 | +0.06 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 17:29 | −0.07 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Murphy D | 16:56 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sam Lafferty C | 11:58 | −0.11 | +0.17 | −0.31 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.00 | ||
| Dominic Toninato C | 10:31 | −0.29 | +0.17 | −0.44 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Louis Crevier D | 20:03 | −0.35 | −0.07 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 25:45 | 2 | −0.35 | −0.38 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Landon Slaggert L | 14:53 | 1 | −0.44 | −0.14 | −0.29 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Oliver Moore C | 10:26 | −0.57 | −0.30 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Ryan Greene C | 16:45 | −0.59 | −0.32 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.07 | −0.00 | ||
| Artyom Levshunov D | 23:10 | 1 | −0.77 | −0.50 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 20:34 | −0.84 | −0.26 | −0.27 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.32 | ||
| Andre Burakovsky L | 21:05 | −0.99 | −0.32 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.49 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Arvid Soderblom G | 65:00 | +1.97 |
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Lundkvist D | 16:44 | 1 | +1.04 | +0.12 | +0.90 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Duchene C | 18:04 | +0.81 | +0.21 | −0.48 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.39 | +0.01 | +0.68 | ||
| Justin Hryckowian C | 13:42 | 1 | +0.59 | +0.02 | +0.58 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Sam Steel C | 15:57 | 1 | +0.47 | +0.35 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.02 | −0.00 | |
| Thomas Harley D | 25:06 | +0.32 | +0.52 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mavrik Bourque C | 15:38 | +0.14 | +0.15 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Esa Lindell D | 23:19 | +0.12 | +0.08 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikko Rantanen R | 21:07 | 1 | 2 | +0.04 | +0.68 | −0.32 | +0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.38 |
| Alexander Petrovic D | 12:55 | −0.09 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Roope Hintz C | 19:26 | −0.13 | +0.00 | −0.22 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.07 | −0.00 | ||
| Oskar Bäck C | 9:57 | −0.15 | −0.14 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Miro Heiskanen D | 28:39 | −0.16 | +0.14 | −0.31 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Robertson L | 21:56 | −0.16 | +0.51 | −0.41 | +0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 | ||
| Radek Faksa C | 10:07 | −0.20 | −0.17 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Nathan Bastian R | 8:59 | −0.20 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Kyle Capobianco D | 12:34 | −0.31 | +0.08 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Johnston C | 21:18 | 3 | −0.45 | +0.39 | −0.36 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.49 | |
| Jamie Benn L | 15:32 | −0.52 | +0.03 | −0.59 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger G | 65:00 | −0.42 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.