PHI beat VAN 5–2. PHI also won the expected-goals battle 4.3 to 2.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Nikita Grebenkin scored at 13:13 of the second, moving PHI’s win probability from 53% to 75%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VAN–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 13:13 |  PHI | Nikita Grebenkin from Emil Andrae, Rodrigo Abols | 0–1 | 53% → 75% |
| P3 5:58 | PHI | Carl Grundstrom from Nikita Grebenkin, Rodrigo Abols | 0–2 | 80% → 94% |
| P3 7:49 | PHI | Christian Dvorak from Trevor Zegras, Travis Konecny | 0–3 | 95% → 99% |
| P3 13:05 |  VAN | Max Sasson from Conor Garland, Tyler Myers | 1–3 | 0% → 2% |
| P3 15:35 | PHI | Owen Tippett from Cam York | 1–4 | 99% → 100% |
| P3 18:49 | PHI | Matvei MichkovEN from Noah Cates | 1–5 | 100% → 100% |
| P3 19:42 | VAN | Drew O'Connor from Zeev Buium, Elias Pettersson | 2–5 | 0% → 0% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sasson C | 12:11 | 1 | +0.19 | −0.05 | +0.29 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Zeev Buium D | 21:13 | 1 | +0.07 | −0.26 | +0.00 | +0.17 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Drew O'Connor L | 15:06 | 1 | +0.06 | −0.23 | +0.36 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Tyler Myers D | 20:28 | 1 | +0.00 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Conor Garland R | 18:34 | 1 | −0.00 | −0.10 | −0.09 | +0.18 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Aatu Räty C | 10:14 | −0.01 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Linus Karlsson C | 10:24 | −0.04 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tom Willander D | 15:38 | −0.09 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake DeBrusk L | 12:52 | −0.11 | −0.07 | −0.08 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Liam Ohgren L | 12:35 | −0.13 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Kampf C | 15:07 | −0.14 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Elias Pettersson D | 16:37 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Marcus Pettersson D | 21:02 | −0.25 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Filip Hronek D | 22:09 | −0.31 | −0.22 | −0.02 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marco Rossi C | 20:51 | −0.32 | −0.17 | −0.04 | −0.11 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Kiefer Sherwood L | 16:17 | −0.34 | −0.25 | −0.07 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brock Boeser R | 19:28 | −0.37 | −0.20 | −0.12 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Evander Kane L | 18:59 | −0.40 | −0.17 | −0.18 | −0.02 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Thatcher Demko G | 58:44 | +0.96 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Grebenkin R | 12:16 | 1 | 1 | +0.49 | −0.02 | +0.37 | +0.15 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Emil Andrae D | 19:10 | 1 | +0.26 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Cam York D | 23:00 | 1 | +0.25 | +0.29 | −0.13 | +0.10 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Christian Dvorak C | 16:00 | 1 | +0.22 | +0.11 | +0.43 | −0.12 | +0.02 | −0.19 | −0.02 | |
| Carl Grundstrom R | 12:55 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.00 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Owen Tippett R | 14:19 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.33 | −0.30 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Trevor Zegras C | 16:37 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.08 | −0.11 | +0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Travis Sanheim D | 22:56 | +0.09 | +0.29 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 15:54 | +0.09 | +0.22 | −0.10 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Drysdale D | 19:36 | +0.06 | +0.07 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 17:41 | +0.03 | +0.19 | −0.08 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Ristolainen D | 17:05 | +0.01 | +0.18 | −0.05 | −0.13 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 16:11 | 1 | +0.00 | +0.07 | −0.09 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Noah Cates L | 14:41 | 1 | −0.03 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Rodrigo Abols C | 14:07 | 2 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.15 | +0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Matvei Michkov R | 13:57 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.22 | −0.16 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Bobby Brink R | 15:09 | −0.12 | +0.09 | −0.15 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Denver Barkey C | 14:26 | −0.21 | +0.33 | −0.20 | −0.14 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar G | 60:00 | +0.07 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.