VAN beat BOS 5–4 in a shootout. VAN lost the expected-goals battle 2.1 to 4.1 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Andrew Peeke scored at 16:16 of the third, moving BOS’s win probability from 11% to 51%. Kevin Lankinen saved 3.7 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VAN–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 8:23 |  BOS | Morgan GeekiePP from Charlie McAvoy, Elias Lindholm | 0–1 | 54% → 70% |
| P1 19:45 | VAN | Max Sasson from Liam Ohgren, Linus Karlsson | 1–1 | 28% → 47% |
| P2 4:22 | VAN | Linus KarlssonPP from Evander Kane, Filip Hronek | 2–1 | 48% → 67% |
| P2 9:41 | BOS | Pavel Zacha from Nikita Zadorov, Casey Mittelstadt | 2–2 | 32% → 53% |
| P2 12:05 | BOS | Tanner Jeannot from Mark Kastelic, Fraser Minten | 2–3 | 53% → 74% |
| P3 3:53 | VAN | Linus Karlsson from Marco Rossi | 3–3 | 21% → 48% |
| P3 7:34 | VAN | Liam Ohgren from Marcus Pettersson, Jake DeBrusk | 4–3 | 48% → 78% |
| P3 16:16 | BOS | Andrew Peeke from Marat Khusnutdinov, Morgan Geekie | 4–4 | 11% → 51% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Ohgren L | 12:21 | 1 | 1 | +1.60 | +0.07 | +0.55 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +1.01 |
| Linus Karlsson C | 13:01 | 2 | 1 | +1.25 | −0.01 | +1.47 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | −0.38 |
| Max Sasson C | 10:14 | 1 | +0.80 | +0.08 | +0.77 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | |
| Elias Pettersson D | 14:46 | −0.01 | +0.09 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tom Willander D | 17:06 | −0.05 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Aatu Räty C | 9:48 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | −0.00 | ||
| Drew O'Connor L | 10:30 | −0.13 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Zeev Buium D | 21:18 | −0.14 | −0.07 | −0.22 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Kampf C | 14:16 | −0.15 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Marco Rossi C | 23:53 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.39 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.19 | −0.09 | −0.00 | |
| Marcus Pettersson D | 22:00 | 1 | −0.39 | −0.23 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tyler Myers D | 19:33 | −0.44 | −0.24 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Conor Garland R | 15:46 | −0.67 | −0.20 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.49 | ||
| Filip Hronek D | 27:41 | 1 | −0.77 | −0.57 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kiefer Sherwood L | 18:59 | −0.79 | −0.03 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.49 | ||
| Evander Kane L | 19:39 | 1 | −0.88 | −0.19 | −0.17 | +0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.49 | |
| Jake DeBrusk L | 17:58 | 1 | −1.09 | −0.39 | −0.36 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.32 | |
| Brock Boeser R | 19:22 | −1.32 | −0.82 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.49 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen G | 65:00 | +3.66 |
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavel Zacha C | 18:35 | 1 | +1.25 | +0.35 | +0.62 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.08 | −0.00 | |
| Tanner Jeannot L | 14:48 | 1 | +0.85 | +0.08 | +0.78 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | |
| Andrew Peeke D | 22:17 | 1 | +0.36 | +0.26 | +0.80 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.49 | |
| Morgan Geekie C | 18:39 | 1 | 1 | +0.28 | +0.33 | +0.41 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.49 |
| Nikita Zadorov D | 24:17 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.22 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Victor Soderstrom D | 11:36 | +0.14 | +0.12 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Fraser Minten C | 15:42 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.15 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | |
| Jeffrey Viel L | 7:22 | −0.06 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 11:12 | −0.10 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | ||
| Charlie McAvoy D | 24:59 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.40 | −0.37 | +0.03 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mark Kastelic C | 14:28 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.10 | −0.30 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | −0.00 | |
| David Pastrnak R | 21:23 | −0.22 | +0.31 | −0.39 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | −0.38 | ||
| Mason Lohrei D | 14:42 | −0.30 | +0.14 | −0.45 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Casey Mittelstadt C | 16:45 | 1 | −0.35 | +0.16 | −0.21 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.32 | |
| Hampus Lindholm D | 23:51 | −0.37 | +0.08 | −0.27 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marat Khusnutdinov C | 15:23 | 1 | −0.50 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.49 | |
| Elias Lindholm C | 20:29 | 1 | −0.64 | +0.22 | −0.55 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.49 | |
| Michael Eyssimont C | 9:28 | −0.78 | −0.02 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.49 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman G | 64:54 | +0.22 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.