WPG beat WSH 5–1. WPG also won the expected-goals battle 3.0 to 2.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Logan Stanley scored at 9:13 of the first, moving WPG’s win probability from 53% to 70%. Logan Thompson allowed 1.8 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WSH–WPG | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 9:13 |  WPG | Logan Stanley from Josh Morrissey, Mark Scheifele | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 18:43 | WPG | Morgan Barron from Adam Lowry, Alex Iafallo | 0–2 | 71% → 85% |
| P2 3:39 | WPG | Alex Iafallo from Adam Lowry | 0–3 | 86% → 94% |
| P2 19:53 | WPG | Gabriel VilardiPP from Kyle Connor, Josh Morrissey | 0–4 | 98% → 100% |
| P3 11:55 | WPG | Gabriel Vilardi from Kyle Connor, Mark Scheifele | 0–5 | 100% → 100% |
| P3 16:32 |  WSH | Jakob ChychrunPP from John Carlson, Alex Ovechkin | 1–5 | 0% → 0% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Chychrun D | 19:40 | 1 | +0.52 | −0.05 | +0.59 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Connor McMichael L | 13:54 | +0.19 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.04 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 18:14 | +0.18 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Sandin D | 21:09 | +0.06 | −0.08 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Strome C | 17:55 | +0.05 | −0.07 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.05 | ||
| Bogdan Trineyev R | 11:45 | +0.03 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 16:47 | +0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Martin Fehérváry D | 17:15 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ethen Frank R | 16:25 | −0.05 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Hendrix Lapierre C | 9:56 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Justin Sourdif C | 16:18 | −0.18 | −0.14 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Alex Ovechkin L | 18:19 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.12 | −0.11 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Duhaime R | 13:12 | −0.25 | +0.03 | −0.26 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 17:12 | −0.32 | −0.05 | −0.27 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Aliaksei Protas L | 14:50 | −0.34 | −0.08 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tom Wilson R | 18:16 | −0.35 | −0.15 | −0.36 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nic Dowd C | 14:36 | −0.44 | +0.03 | −0.26 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| John Carlson D | 19:55 | 1 | −0.45 | −0.04 | −0.04 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.39 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson G | 59:53 | −1.77 |
WPG
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Vilardi C | 15:29 | 2 | +1.36 | +0.04 | +1.52 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Alex Iafallo L | 10:53 | 1 | 1 | +0.89 | +0.07 | +0.83 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Logan Stanley D | 16:08 | 1 | +0.83 | +0.00 | +0.83 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Morgan Barron C | 14:11 | 1 | +0.66 | +0.07 | +0.81 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | |
| Nino Niederreiter R | 15:45 | +0.17 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan DeMelo D | 20:32 | +0.15 | +0.14 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Koepke L | 11:48 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Morrissey D | 17:49 | 2 | −0.03 | +0.09 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Lowry C | 14:16 | 2 | −0.05 | +0.11 | −0.07 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | |
| Mark Scheifele C | 17:17 | 2 | −0.06 | +0.06 | −0.14 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Neal Pionk D | 21:28 | −0.09 | +0.07 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Samberg D | 23:00 | −0.10 | +0.07 | −0.16 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Schenn D | 16:47 | −0.17 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Gustav Nyquist R | 13:07 | −0.20 | +0.04 | −0.24 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Vladislav Namestnikov C | 14:45 | −0.27 | +0.01 | −0.25 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Cole Perfetti C | 17:22 | −0.30 | −0.02 | −0.30 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Kyle Connor L | 18:35 | 2 | −0.36 | +0.06 | −0.41 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jonathan Toews C | 11:05 | −0.43 | −0.01 | −0.26 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck G | 60:00 | +1.42 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.