NJD beat ANA 4–1. NJD also won the expected-goals battle 3.4 to 3.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Paul Cotter scored at 5:52 of the second, moving NJD’s win probability from 53% to 73%. Jake Allen saved 2.3 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ANA–NJD | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 13:18 |  ANA | Troy Terry from Leo Carlsson | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P1 16:09 |  NJD | Stefan Noesen from Juho Lammikko, Jesper Bratt | 1–1 | 35% → 53% |
| P2 5:52 | NJD | Paul Cotter from Juho Lammikko, Colton White | 1–2 | 53% → 73% |
| P2 17:04 | NJD | Cody Glass from Ondrej Palat, Colton White | 1–3 | 76% → 91% |
| P3 18:00 | NJD | Connor BrownEN from Ondrej Palat | 1–4 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Carlsson C | 22:53 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.09 | −0.09 | +0.08 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.09 | |
| Cutter Gauthier L | 14:19 | +0.04 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Troy Terry R | 18:36 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.08 | −0.10 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Radko Gudas D | 11:51 | −0.07 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Helleson D | 16:50 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Frank Vatrano R | 9:25 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Kreider L | 21:03 | −0.15 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Olen Zellweger D | 17:49 | −0.16 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Trouba D | 19:41 | −0.18 | −0.11 | −0.02 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ian Moore D | 20:26 | −0.21 | −0.05 | −0.12 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Poehling C | 13:39 | −0.23 | −0.11 | −0.06 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Ryan Strome C | 12:12 | −0.23 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Mikael Granlund C | 18:52 | −0.27 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Ross Johnston L | 12:47 | −0.28 | +0.01 | −0.21 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason McTavish C | 11:37 | −0.30 | −0.19 | −0.02 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jackson LaCombe D | 24:33 | −0.34 | −0.24 | −0.03 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Killorn L | 14:19 | −0.43 | −0.03 | −0.10 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Beckett Sennecke R | 17:18 | −0.63 | −0.21 | −0.38 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal G | 57:50 | +0.01 |
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Cotter C | 16:24 | 1 | +0.49 | +0.13 | +0.39 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Stefan Noesen R | 14:42 | 1 | +0.46 | +0.21 | +0.38 | −0.13 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Juho Lammikko C | 13:38 | 2 | +0.43 | +0.08 | −0.11 | +0.42 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Colton White D | 14:38 | 2 | +0.26 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Cody Glass C | 14:28 | 1 | +0.16 | +0.01 | +0.11 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | |
| Luke Glendening C | 10:40 | +0.14 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.02 | ||
| Luke Hughes D | 24:33 | +0.06 | +0.04 | −0.06 | −0.08 | −0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Dennis Cholowski D | 13:03 | +0.03 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesper Bratt L | 19:06 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.12 | −0.00 | −0.10 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brenden Dillon D | 22:11 | −0.02 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonas Siegenthaler D | 20:12 | −0.04 | +0.21 | +0.00 | −0.07 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Dougie Hamilton D | 22:37 | −0.04 | +0.26 | −0.00 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Angus Crookshank C | 7:47 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Ondrej Palat L | 14:28 | 2 | −0.05 | +0.12 | −0.32 | +0.14 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Nico Hischier C | 19:57 | −0.06 | +0.23 | −0.20 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Connor Brown R | 17:10 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.02 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Xavier Parent C | 9:50 | −0.10 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dawson Mercer C | 18:36 | −0.19 | +0.10 | −0.27 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen G | 60:00 | +2.27 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.