VGK beat PHI 3–2 in overtime. VGK also won the expected-goals battle 2.8 to 2.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Mark Stone scored at 2:47 of overtime, moving VGK’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VGK–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 6:07 |  VGK | Zach Whitecloud from Ivan Barbashev, Braeden Bowman | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 16:11 | PHI | Trevor Zegras from Travis Sanheim, Christian Dvorak | 1–1 | 35% → 53% |
| P2 12:53 | VGK | Mark StonePP from Pavel Dorofeyev, Jack Eichel | 2–1 | 48% → 69% |
| P2 16:08 | PHI | Noah Juulsen from Christian Dvorak, Carl Grundstrom | 2–2 | 30% → 53% |
| OT 2:47 | VGK | Mark Stone from Jack Eichel | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VGK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Stone R | 18:57 | 2 | +1.43 | +0.32 | +1.09 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Zach Whitecloud D | 19:23 | 1 | +0.91 | +0.15 | +0.76 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mitch Marner R | 18:37 | +0.29 | +0.21 | +0.00 | +0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kaedan Korczak D | 17:54 | +0.14 | +0.12 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tomas Hertl C | 17:25 | +0.11 | +0.05 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.03 | ||
| Jack Eichel C | 19:23 | 2 | +0.10 | +0.26 | −0.23 | +0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Ben Hutton D | 15:03 | +0.08 | +0.13 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Keegan Kolesar R | 9:26 | +0.03 | +0.06 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Sissons C | 13:39 | +0.02 | +0.06 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Cole Reinhardt L | 11:04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Hanifin D | 21:42 | −0.03 | +0.07 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Reilly Smith R | 14:14 | −0.03 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brayden McNabb D | 20:43 | −0.12 | −0.14 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Braeden Bowman R | 11:45 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.15 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Shea Theodore D | 22:47 | −0.17 | −0.03 | −0.14 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Howden C | 16:33 | −0.30 | +0.03 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.03 | ||
| Pavel Dorofeyev L | 17:13 | 1 | −0.31 | +0.04 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Ivan Barbashev L | 16:33 | 1 | −0.47 | −0.02 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Akira Schmid G | 62:47 | +0.02 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Juulsen D | 14:07 | 1 | +0.80 | +0.00 | +0.79 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Trevor Zegras C | 23:05 | 1 | +0.65 | −0.08 | +0.73 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Carl Grundstrom R | 12:41 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.07 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Ty Murchison D | 13:41 | +0.07 | +0.09 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Owen Tippett R | 14:05 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bobby Brink R | 18:02 | −0.04 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Rodrigo Abols C | 9:30 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Drysdale D | 22:26 | −0.06 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikita Grebenkin R | 12:20 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Emil Andrae D | 19:29 | −0.12 | −0.27 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 22:36 | −0.14 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 16:10 | −0.16 | −0.15 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Garnet Hathaway R | 9:15 | −0.18 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 26:25 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.11 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Christian Dvorak C | 17:33 | 2 | −0.23 | −0.21 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Matvei Michkov R | 13:47 | −0.35 | +0.06 | −0.40 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 20:43 | −0.51 | −0.28 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Noah Cates L | 19:41 | −0.55 | +0.03 | −0.63 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar G | 62:44 | −0.72 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.