SEA beat LAK 3–2 in overtime. SEA also won the expected-goals battle 3.4 to 2.9: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Vince Dunn scored on the power play at 1:21 of overtime, moving SEA’s win probability from 54% to 100%. Anton Forsberg allowed 1.3 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–SEA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 3:21 | SEA | Jared McCannPP from Vince Dunn, Chandler Stephenson | 0–1 | 54% → 72% |
| P2 8:16 |  LAK | Alex LaferriereSH from Joel Armia | 1–1 | 26% → 46% |
| P3 14:40 | LAK | Kevin FialaPP from Anze Kopitar, Adrian Kempe | 2–1 | 50% → 87% |
| P3 19:34 | SEA | Matty BeniersPP from Eeli Tolvanen, Vince Dunn | 2–2 | 4% → 51% |
| OT 1:21 | SEA | Vince DunnPP from Eeli Tolvanen, Jordan Eberle | 2–3 | 54% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Laferriere R | 16:54 | 1 | +0.87 | −0.02 | +0.73 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Brian Dumoulin D | 16:04 | +0.09 | +0.12 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Turcotte C | 6:19 | +0.08 | +0.12 | −0.00 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Kevin Fiala L | 20:08 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.09 | +0.28 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Jeff Malott L | 6:42 | +0.08 | +0.13 | −0.00 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Corey Perry R | 9:39 | +0.07 | +0.11 | −0.01 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandt Clarke D | 16:11 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phillip Danault C | 13:40 | −0.04 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Trevor Moore L | 15:39 | −0.05 | +0.06 | −0.08 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 20:03 | −0.11 | −0.26 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 22:40 | −0.14 | −0.31 | +0.00 | −0.05 | +0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Warren Foegele L | 13:02 | −0.17 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Cody Ceci D | 15:32 | −0.18 | +0.13 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Quinton Byfield R | 19:04 | −0.20 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Joel Armia R | 18:42 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.12 | −0.29 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Drew Doughty D | 23:33 | −0.22 | +0.08 | −0.02 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 21:43 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.29 | −0.03 | +0.12 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.09 | |
| Adrian Kempe R | 20:32 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.05 | −0.14 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Forsberg G | 60:48 | −1.25 |
SEA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matty Beniers C | 18:47 | 1 | +0.89 | +0.35 | +0.46 | −0.10 | +0.02 | +0.19 | −0.04 | |
| Vince Dunn D | 21:29 | 1 | 2 | +0.81 | +0.40 | +0.33 | +0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Jared McCann L | 16:39 | 1 | +0.67 | +0.27 | +0.33 | −0.14 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Chandler Stephenson C | 21:47 | 1 | +0.47 | +0.25 | −0.14 | +0.07 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.10 | |
| Jordan Eberle R | 18:35 | 1 | +0.33 | +0.44 | −0.11 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ben Meyers C | 10:13 | +0.27 | +0.10 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 17:54 | 2 | +0.22 | −0.06 | −0.09 | +0.16 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Lindgren D | 19:10 | +0.03 | +0.08 | +0.00 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jani Nyman R | 8:16 | −0.02 | −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Frederick Gaudreau C | 13:32 | −0.11 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Ryan Winterton C | 14:01 | −0.20 | −0.08 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Brandon Montour D | 25:23 | −0.23 | +0.14 | −0.31 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kaapo Kakko R | 12:26 | −0.24 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Adam Larsson D | 20:21 | −0.27 | +0.06 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Shane Wright C | 13:39 | −0.34 | −0.09 | −0.13 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Ryker Evans D | 14:34 | −0.39 | −0.32 | −0.01 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 15:10 | −0.40 | −0.34 | +0.00 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Marchment L | 16:16 | −0.57 | −0.22 | −0.10 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord G | 59:50 | −0.24 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.