WSH beat CBJ 2–0. WSH also won the expected-goals battle 4.3 to 3.4: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jakob Chychrun scored at 0:50 of the second, moving WSH’s win probability from 53% to 72%. Logan Thompson saved 3.6 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CBJ–WSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 0:50 |  WSH | Jakob Chychrun from Tom Wilson, Anthony Beauvillier | 0–1 | 53% → 72% |
| P3 18:34 | WSH | Aliaksei ProtasEN from Martin Fehérváry | 0–2 | 94% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Fabbro D | 12:38 | +0.11 | +0.12 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Damon Severson D | 19:47 | +0.03 | +0.12 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Egor Chinakhov R | 9:11 | +0.01 | +0.21 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luca Del Bel Belluz C | 9:07 | −0.07 | +0.21 | −0.29 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Miles Wood L | 13:29 | −0.10 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Fantilli C | 19:33 | −0.11 | +0.14 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Brendan Smith D | 9:24 | −0.11 | −0.07 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Charlie Coyle C | 17:02 | −0.11 | −0.28 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Denton Mateychuk D | 18:45 | −0.18 | −0.14 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Werenski D | 27:53 | −0.20 | +0.06 | −0.28 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Isac Lundeström C | 12:47 | −0.20 | −0.08 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Dmitri Voronkov L | 16:27 | −0.21 | +0.13 | −0.35 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Brendan Gaunce C | 11:03 | −0.31 | +0.27 | −0.17 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.39 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Sillinger C | 17:58 | −0.38 | −0.09 | −0.25 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Monahan C | 19:33 | −0.41 | −0.38 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kent Johnson C | 12:45 | −0.42 | −0.16 | −0.24 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Provorov D | 27:52 | −0.54 | −0.11 | −0.41 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kirill Marchenko R | 19:26 | −0.94 | +0.11 | −0.67 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.39 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jet Greaves G | 57:20 | +3.23 |
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Chychrun D | 23:46 | 1 | +0.90 | +0.30 | +0.61 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ethen Frank R | 17:05 | +0.15 | +0.25 | −0.49 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.39 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 20:46 | +0.12 | +0.13 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan McIlrath D | 10:01 | +0.09 | +0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Sourdif C | 14:49 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.29 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.08 | ||
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 17:00 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Brandon Duhaime R | 9:45 | −0.08 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Aliaksei Protas L | 15:29 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.06 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Martin Fehérváry D | 20:23 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 16:15 | −0.14 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor McMichael L | 14:54 | −0.16 | −0.15 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Sonny Milano L | 9:20 | −0.17 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nic Dowd C | 17:51 | −0.21 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.07 | ||
| Hendrix Lapierre C | 8:24 | −0.30 | −0.06 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Rasmus Sandin D | 22:48 | −0.33 | −0.22 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Strome C | 17:25 | −0.34 | +0.20 | −0.58 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Alex Ovechkin L | 18:39 | −0.49 | +0.13 | −0.70 | +0.11 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tom Wilson R | 19:31 | 1 | −0.72 | +0.33 | −1.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson G | 59:49 | +3.58 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.