ANA beat WSH 4–3 in a shootout. ANA also won the expected-goals battle 4.3 to 2.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Beckett Sennecke scored at 17:59 of the second, moving ANA’s win probability from 28% to 53%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | WSH–ANA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 9:29 | WSH | Tom Wilson from Justin Sourdif, Trevor van Riemsdyk | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 18:16 | ANA | Cutter Gauthier from Beckett Sennecke, Jackson LaCombe | 1–1 | 35% → 53% |
| P2 6:06 | WSH | Ethen Frank unassisted | 2–1 | 47% → 67% |
| P2 6:19 | ANA | Ross Johnston from Radko Gudas, Olen Zellweger | 2–2 | 33% → 53% |
| P2 7:38 | WSH | Aliaksei Protas from Matt Roy, Dylan Strome | 3–2 | 47% → 68% |
| P2 17:59 | ANA | Beckett Sennecke from Ross Johnston | 3–3 | 28% → 53% |
Every player
Show both lineups
WSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 15:31 | +0.48 | −0.22 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.79 | ||
| Justin Sourdif C | 17:06 | 1 | +0.14 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.14 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 17:23 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.06 | −0.04 | +0.07 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Hendrix Lapierre C | 5:23 | +0.01 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Tom Wilson R | 22:45 | 1 | −0.00 | −0.23 | +0.32 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Rasmus Sandin D | 21:26 | −0.03 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.05 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Duhaime R | 6:22 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Ryan Leonard R | 4:38 | −0.07 | +0.05 | −0.10 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Declan Chisholm D | 13:13 | −0.07 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ethen Frank R | 11:06 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.01 | +0.39 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.49 | |
| Martin Fehérváry D | 18:06 | −0.13 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Roy D | 24:03 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.24 | −0.05 | +0.13 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Connor McMichael L | 21:46 | −0.16 | −0.21 | −0.21 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Nic Dowd C | 15:47 | −0.22 | −0.08 | −0.13 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | ||
| Aliaksei Protas L | 22:46 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.35 | +0.39 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Alex Ovechkin L | 20:19 | −0.43 | −0.21 | −0.23 | +0.03 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jakob Chychrun D | 26:57 | −0.53 | −0.34 | −0.04 | +0.05 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Strome C | 20:23 | 1 | −0.91 | −0.46 | −0.00 | +0.07 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.32 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson G | 65:00 | −0.14 |
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason McTavish C | 17:53 | +1.04 | +0.12 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +1.01 | ||
| Troy Terry R | 24:03 | +0.72 | +0.40 | −0.21 | −0.25 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.79 | ||
| Ross Johnston L | 7:42 | 1 | 1 | +0.61 | −0.00 | +0.41 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 |
| Jacob Trouba D | 21:57 | +0.53 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.39 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cutter Gauthier L | 19:44 | 1 | +0.45 | +0.24 | +0.32 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | |
| Radko Gudas D | 15:50 | 1 | +0.42 | +0.08 | −0.02 | +0.16 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Beckett Sennecke R | 17:15 | 1 | 1 | +0.33 | +0.19 | +0.18 | +0.16 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 |
| Olen Zellweger D | 16:57 | 1 | +0.19 | +0.17 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Poehling C | 12:09 | +0.13 | +0.06 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Jackson LaCombe D | 27:11 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.53 | −0.22 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Strome C | 8:00 | +0.04 | +0.07 | −0.00 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Drew Helleson D | 16:15 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikael Granlund C | 17:53 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.00 | ||
| Pavel Mintyukov D | 17:56 | −0.13 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Frank Vatrano R | 9:33 | −0.23 | +0.11 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Alex Killorn L | 13:23 | −0.25 | +0.14 | −0.40 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Chris Kreider L | 22:05 | −0.26 | −0.05 | −0.31 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Leo Carlsson C | 23:35 | −0.80 | +0.16 | −0.37 | −0.24 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.32 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ville Husso G | 64:39 | −0.55 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.