CHI beat LAK 2–1. Expected goals were close to even (CHI 2.9, LAK 2.7), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Connor Bedard scored on the power play at 6:17 of the second, moving CHI’s win probability from 48% to 67%. Spencer Knight saved 1.5 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 6:17 | CHI | Connor BedardPP from Tyler Bertuzzi, Frank Nazar | 1–0 | 48% → 67% |
| P2 19:54 | CHI | Wyatt Kaiser from Frank Nazar, Oliver Moore | 2–0 | 72% → 89% |
| P3 10:38 | LAK | Trevor Moore from Warren Foegele | 2–1 | 4% → 19% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 20:21 | 1 | +1.02 | +0.11 | +0.72 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Murphy D | 15:18 | +0.32 | +0.32 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 19:25 | +0.29 | +0.26 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Bedard C | 17:59 | 1 | +0.25 | +0.08 | +0.52 | +0.02 | −0.02 | −0.39 | +0.03 | |
| Andre Burakovsky L | 15:09 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Artyom Levshunov D | 16:10 | −0.02 | +0.05 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 20:57 | −0.05 | +0.03 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Donato C | 9:03 | −0.08 | +0.07 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Ryan Greene C | 16:33 | −0.09 | +0.09 | −0.14 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Colton Dach C | 8:23 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.10 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Frank Nazar C | 18:48 | 2 | −0.15 | +0.12 | −0.40 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.05 | |
| Jason Dickinson C | 17:52 | −0.16 | +0.07 | −0.22 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Oliver Moore C | 12:54 | 1 | −0.17 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Louis Crevier D | 15:43 | −0.18 | +0.09 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 16:02 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.07 | −0.25 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 18:23 | −0.23 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Rinzel D | 13:13 | −0.24 | −0.13 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 18:30 | −0.30 | +0.17 | −0.47 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight G | 59:51 | +1.55 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Moore L | 13:15 | 1 | +0.71 | −0.10 | +0.80 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Turcotte C | 10:18 | +0.44 | +0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.39 | +0.02 | ||
| Brandt Clarke D | 20:12 | +0.16 | +0.04 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrei Kuzmenko L | 10:45 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 17:24 | −0.03 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Warren Foegele L | 11:59 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Brian Dumoulin D | 17:49 | −0.07 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cody Ceci D | 18:05 | −0.09 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 19:12 | −0.13 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Armia R | 19:35 | −0.14 | −0.16 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 18:06 | −0.17 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 17:21 | −0.30 | −0.28 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Alex Laferriere R | 13:15 | −0.33 | −0.11 | −0.20 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Phillip Danault C | 17:35 | −0.43 | −0.00 | −0.50 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.08 | ||
| Quinton Byfield R | 21:32 | −0.50 | −0.26 | −0.23 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Kevin Fiala L | 18:33 | −0.50 | −0.00 | −0.51 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 18:50 | −0.54 | −0.26 | −0.32 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Corey Perry R | 14:51 | −0.75 | −0.21 | −0.56 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper G | 57:14 | +1.03 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.