DET beat BOS 5–4. DET also won the expected-goals battle 3.3 to 2.8: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: James van Riemsdyk scored at 6:52 of the first, moving DET’s win probability from 53% to 70%. Jeremy Swayman allowed 2.6 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–DET | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 6:52 | DET | James van Riemsdyk from Albert Johansson, Moritz Seider | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 13:49 | DET | Moritz Seider from Patrick Kane, Alex DeBrincat | 0–2 | 71% → 84% |
| P2 1:35 | DET | Alex DeBrincat unassisted | 0–3 | 86% → 94% |
| P2 11:09 | BOS | Jonathan Aspirot from Nikita Zadorov, Tanner Jeannot | 1–3 | 4% → 11% |
| P2 15:38 | BOS | Alex Steeves from Hampus Lindholm, Morgan Geekie | 2–3 | 10% → 25% |
| P2 16:15 | DET | Ben Chiarot from Dylan Larkin, Lucas Raymond | 2–4 | 76% → 90% |
| P3 3:55 | DET | Lucas RaymondPP from Moritz Seider, Patrick Kane | 2–5 | 94% → 99% |
| P3 14:57 | BOS | Marat Khusnutdinov from Hampus Lindholm, Morgan Geekie | 3–5 | 0% → 1% |
| P3 19:48 | BOS | Alex SteevesPP from Pavel Zacha, Hampus Lindholm | 4–5 | 0% → 3% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Steeves C | 16:52 | 2 | +1.61 | +0.01 | +1.60 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jonathan Aspirot D | 21:14 | 1 | +0.90 | +0.02 | +0.85 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Marat Khusnutdinov C | 14:32 | 1 | +0.76 | −0.01 | +0.79 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Sean Kuraly C | 13:51 | +0.10 | −0.01 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Mason Lohrei D | 21:53 | +0.04 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Callahan D | 2:51 | +0.02 | +0.04 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Casey Mittelstadt C | 17:36 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Michael Eyssimont C | 13:56 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.31 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Zacha C | 16:00 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Tanner Jeannot L | 12:53 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.12 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrew Peeke D | 23:10 | −0.18 | −0.07 | −0.09 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Elias Lindholm C | 16:30 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Nikita Zadorov D | 20:42 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.03 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Fraser Minten C | 15:12 | −0.29 | +0.01 | −0.29 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 15:20 | −0.31 | −0.01 | −0.30 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Hampus Lindholm D | 24:59 | 3 | −0.35 | +0.06 | −0.24 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Morgan Geekie C | 18:42 | 2 | −0.48 | −0.00 | −0.49 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Mark Kastelic C | 12:45 | −0.57 | +0.03 | −0.40 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo G | 12:36 | +1.13 |
| Jeremy Swayman G | 43:55 | −2.61 |
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Seider D | 22:55 | 1 | 2 | +0.96 | +0.05 | +0.90 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Lucas Raymond L | 18:57 | 1 | 1 | +0.78 | +0.06 | +0.72 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| James van Riemsdyk L | 14:09 | 1 | +0.77 | −0.04 | +0.62 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Ben Chiarot D | 19:38 | 1 | +0.64 | −0.03 | +0.68 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex DeBrincat R | 15:26 | 1 | 1 | +0.59 | −0.04 | +0.61 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Marco Kasper C | 13:06 | +0.23 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.03 | ||
| Albert Johansson D | 17:15 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Rasmussen C | 9:22 | −0.05 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Elmer Soderblom L | 12:49 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Axel Sandin-Pellikka D | 18:03 | −0.12 | +0.02 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Emmitt Finnie C | 17:44 | −0.12 | +0.07 | −0.18 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Bernard-Docker D | 16:20 | −0.12 | −0.06 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Copp C | 15:43 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.13 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Simon Edvinsson D | 23:08 | −0.15 | +0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Larkin C | 19:34 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| J.T. Compher L | 15:10 | −0.27 | −0.04 | −0.22 | −0.02 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 15:04 | 2 | −0.41 | −0.04 | −0.42 | +0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nate Danielson C | 11:37 | −0.78 | +0.04 | −0.84 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| John Gibson G | 60:00 | −0.79 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.