BOS beat NYI 3–1. BOS lost the expected-goals battle 1.3 to 4.5 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Tanner Jeannot scored at 0:43 of the second, moving BOS’s win probability from 47% to 66%. Jeremy Swayman saved 3.7 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–NYI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 4:41 | NYI | Mathew Barzal from Tony DeAngelo, Matthew Schaefer | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 6:23 | BOS | Alex Steeves from Sean Kuraly, Michael Eyssimont | 1–1 | 30% → 47% |
| P2 0:43 | BOS | Tanner Jeannot from Fraser Minten | 2–1 | 47% → 66% |
| P3 10:21 | BOS | Alex SteevesSH from Fraser Minten | 3–1 | 79% → 95% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Steeves C | 11:41 | 2 | +1.38 | +0.03 | +1.35 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tanner Jeannot L | 16:10 | 1 | +0.73 | +0.03 | +0.72 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jonathan Aspirot D | 20:45 | +0.15 | +0.14 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Eyssimont C | 14:14 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Fraser Minten C | 15:29 | 2 | −0.06 | +0.05 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Nikita Zadorov D | 27:38 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matěj Blümel R | 3:03 | −0.08 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 14:31 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Mason Lohrei D | 12:51 | −0.10 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Elias Lindholm C | 15:25 | −0.11 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Morgan Geekie C | 17:31 | −0.15 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Peeke D | 18:21 | −0.17 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Kastelic C | 15:32 | −0.20 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.04 | ||
| Marat Khusnutdinov C | 15:15 | −0.21 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Pavel Zacha C | 16:35 | −0.25 | −0.24 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Hampus Lindholm D | 23:33 | −0.28 | −0.24 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Henri Jokiharju D | 15:52 | −0.32 | −0.11 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 18:35 | −0.55 | −0.25 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman G | 60:00 | +3.70 |
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathew Barzal C | 24:51 | 1 | +0.98 | +0.34 | +0.61 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Ryan Pulock D | 18:13 | +0.24 | +0.26 | −0.08 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bo Horvat C | 23:49 | +0.18 | +0.20 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | ||
| Adam Pelech D | 19:59 | +0.08 | +0.09 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Drouin L | 20:49 | +0.02 | +0.32 | −0.32 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Simon Holmstrom R | 13:22 | −0.07 | +0.03 | −0.08 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Maksim Shabanov R | 13:13 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Mayfield D | 15:13 | −0.09 | −0.05 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Casey Cizikas C | 9:30 | −0.09 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Maxim Tsyplakov R | 10:06 | −0.10 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Matthew Schaefer D | 25:18 | 1 | −0.10 | +0.31 | −0.81 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.39 | +0.00 | |
| Tony DeAngelo D | 18:00 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Anthony Duclair L | 10:06 | −0.13 | −0.07 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Boqvist D | 11:16 | −0.14 | −0.09 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Emil Heineman L | 18:04 | −0.29 | +0.05 | −0.12 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Calum Ritchie C | 11:38 | −0.37 | −0.02 | −0.33 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anders Lee C | 19:29 | −0.52 | +0.26 | −0.96 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Kyle Palmieri C | 22:28 | −0.87 | +0.17 | −1.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin G | 55:26 | −1.75 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.