BOS beat LAK 2–1 in overtime. Expected goals were close to even (BOS 2.7, LAK 2.8), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Morgan Geekie scored at 2:27 of overtime, moving BOS’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Jeremy Swayman saved 1.5 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P3 8:01 |  BOS | Morgan Geekie from Alex Steeves, Nikita Zadorov | 1–0 | 48% → 78% |
| P3 13:03 |  LAK | Joel ArmiaSH from Trevor Moore, Brian Dumoulin | 1–1 | 15% → 50% |
| OT 2:27 | BOS | Morgan Geekie from David Pastrnak, Nikita Zadorov | 2–1 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Geekie C | 14:51 | 2 | +1.75 | +0.17 | +1.60 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Nikita Zadorov D | 26:19 | 2 | +0.30 | +0.24 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Marat Khusnutdinov C | 13:55 | +0.14 | +0.16 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Henri Jokiharju D | 17:36 | +0.11 | +0.13 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Eyssimont C | 13:12 | +0.02 | +0.14 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Riley Tufte L | 11:59 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Steeves C | 12:37 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.14 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Hampus Lindholm D | 23:24 | −0.08 | +0.13 | −0.22 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Lohrei D | 16:10 | −0.10 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Kastelic C | 13:20 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.15 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Jeannot L | 14:01 | −0.20 | −0.08 | −0.09 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 20:37 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.11 | −0.31 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Jonathan Aspirot D | 18:07 | −0.22 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Peeke D | 18:53 | −0.24 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Zacha C | 20:03 | −0.24 | −0.01 | −0.22 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Fraser Minten C | 15:47 | −0.27 | −0.06 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Matěj Blümel R | 15:19 | −0.35 | −0.13 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 13:22 | −0.77 | −0.30 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.39 | −0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman G | 62:27 | +1.48 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Armia R | 12:13 | 1 | +0.77 | +0.13 | +0.64 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Cody Ceci D | 16:36 | +0.38 | +0.37 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jacob Moverare D | 11:59 | +0.19 | +0.22 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Phillip Danault C | 19:02 | +0.09 | −0.05 | −0.45 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.58 | +0.03 | ||
| Andrei Kuzmenko L | 17:00 | +0.06 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Moore L | 17:02 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.14 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brian Dumoulin D | 19:24 | 1 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Warren Foegele L | 14:24 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Turcotte C | 6:18 | −0.04 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 18:05 | −0.18 | −0.02 | −0.42 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.19 | +0.04 | ||
| Alex Laferriere R | 20:48 | −0.18 | −0.12 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikey Anderson D | 19:43 | −0.19 | −0.17 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Fiala L | 19:52 | −0.22 | −0.22 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandt Clarke D | 21:57 | −0.24 | −0.03 | −0.23 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Edmundson D | 20:39 | −0.28 | −0.23 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adrian Kempe R | 19:36 | −0.39 | −0.14 | −0.26 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Corey Perry R | 12:11 | −0.40 | −0.08 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Quinton Byfield R | 21:59 | −0.41 | −0.26 | −0.20 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper G | 62:27 | +0.15 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.