NYI beat DET 5–0. Expected goals were close to even (NYI 3.1, DET 2.9), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Calum Ritchie scored at 6:46 of the first, moving NYI’s win probability from 47% to 63%. Ilya Sorokin saved 3.1 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYI–DET | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 6:46 | NYI | Calum Ritchie from Maksim Shabanov, Adam Boqvist | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 14:54 | NYI | Maksim Shabanov from Casey Cizikas, Calum Ritchie | 2–0 | 64% → 78% |
| P2 3:19 | NYI | Mathew Barzal unassisted | 3–0 | 81% → 93% |
| P2 5:04 | NYI | Bo Horvat from Ryan Pulock, Emil Heineman | 4–0 | 94% → 99% |
| P3 6:52 | NYI | Maksim Shabanov from Casey Cizikas | 5–0 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maksim Shabanov R | 14:31 | 2 | 1 | +1.63 | +0.03 | +1.62 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Calum Ritchie C | 13:48 | 1 | 1 | +0.67 | +0.02 | +0.69 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Bo Horvat C | 15:47 | 1 | +0.47 | −0.03 | +0.54 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Mathew Barzal C | 21:11 | 1 | +0.43 | −0.01 | +0.47 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | |
| Simon Holmstrom R | 15:11 | +0.14 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | 14:29 | +0.12 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.03 | ||
| Casey Cizikas C | 11:01 | 2 | +0.06 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Adam Boqvist D | 16:13 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Pulock D | 21:06 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.05 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Pelech D | 18:19 | −0.04 | +0.02 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matthew Schaefer D | 24:12 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Drouin L | 20:11 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Anthony Duclair L | 12:15 | −0.16 | −0.04 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anders Lee C | 16:39 | −0.16 | −0.03 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Tony DeAngelo D | 19:41 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.20 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Palmieri C | 15:44 | −0.30 | −0.02 | −0.48 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Mayfield D | 13:36 | −0.39 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.39 | +0.00 | ||
| Emil Heineman L | 12:06 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.02 | −0.19 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin G | 60:00 | +3.14 |
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albert Johansson D | 20:27 | +0.05 | +0.09 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Hamonic D | 16:33 | +0.05 | +0.11 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| James van Riemsdyk L | 9:38 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Rasmussen C | 12:21 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Axel Sandin-Pellikka D | 18:19 | −0.08 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marco Kasper C | 12:16 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.12 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 16:09 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Emmitt Finnie C | 16:03 | −0.15 | −0.06 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Larkin C | 19:45 | −0.15 | +0.01 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Andrew Copp C | 12:22 | −0.18 | +0.05 | −0.30 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Lucas Raymond L | 18:20 | −0.20 | +0.03 | −0.23 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nate Danielson C | 10:20 | −0.21 | −0.02 | −0.34 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.03 | ||
| Moritz Seider D | 23:14 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.23 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Chiarot D | 15:49 | −0.23 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Simon Edvinsson D | 24:17 | −0.30 | −0.00 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Appleton C | 12:32 | −0.31 | −0.00 | −0.49 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex DeBrincat R | 16:48 | −0.36 | +0.03 | −0.43 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| J.T. Compher L | 16:17 | −0.39 | +0.00 | −0.28 | −0.03 | +0.03 | −0.19 | +0.09 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| John Gibson G | 60:00 | −2.01 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.