PIT beat NSH 4–0. PIT also won the expected-goals battle 2.5 to 1.9: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Parker Wotherspoon scored at 2:19 of the first, moving PIT’s win probability from 53% to 69%. Sergei Murashov saved 1.7 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NSH–PIT | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 2:19 | PIT | Parker Wotherspoon from Erik Karlsson, Joona Koppanen | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 8:08 | PIT | Evgeni Malkin from Kevin Hayes, Anthony Mantha | 0–2 | 70% → 83% |
| P1 10:13 | PIT | Sidney Crosby unassisted | 0–3 | 83% → 91% |
| P3 17:12 | PIT | Blake LizotteEN unassisted | 0–4 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Haula L | 16:37 | +0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Bunting L | 18:34 | +0.16 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Spencer Stastney D | 14:51 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 19:30 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan O'Reilly C | 18:55 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Justin Barron D | 10:12 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Filip Forsberg L | 20:42 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matthew Wood R | 15:16 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Blankenburg D | 17:23 | −0.06 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Fedor Svechkov C | 10:34 | −0.07 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Adam Wilsby D | 14:23 | −0.11 | −0.03 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Hague D | 18:47 | −0.11 | −0.08 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Perbix D | 17:49 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.13 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael McCarron C | 15:02 | −0.13 | −0.05 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.10 | ||
| Ozzy Wiesblatt C | 12:36 | −0.16 | −0.08 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Steven Stamkos C | 19:59 | −0.21 | −0.03 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Luke Evangelista R | 19:54 | −0.24 | −0.02 | −0.22 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brady Skjei D | 19:34 | −0.25 | +0.01 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros G | 59:22 | −0.88 |
PIT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby C | 15:31 | 1 | +0.74 | +0.01 | +0.70 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Evgeni Malkin C | 15:51 | 1 | +0.72 | +0.04 | +0.65 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Parker Wotherspoon D | 20:22 | 1 | +0.61 | +0.03 | +0.76 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Kris Letang D | 20:28 | +0.07 | +0.07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Philip Tomasino C | 11:39 | +0.05 | +0.05 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Clifton D | 19:28 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Mantha R | 14:06 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.03 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Bryan Rust R | 18:15 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Karlsson D | 21:00 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joona Koppanen L | 13:27 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Shea D | 19:30 | −0.10 | +0.08 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Dewar C | 17:10 | −0.13 | −0.03 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tommy Novak C | 13:41 | −0.14 | +0.05 | −0.19 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Danton Heinen L | 10:57 | −0.17 | −0.02 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Graves D | 20:06 | −0.19 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Kindel C | 12:50 | −0.24 | +0.00 | −0.21 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Blake Lizotte C | 14:12 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.07 | |
| Kevin Hayes R | 13:27 | 1 | −0.35 | +0.04 | −0.35 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Sergei Murashov G | 60:00 | +1.67 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.