CGY beat SJS 2–0. CGY also won the expected-goals battle 3.6 to 1.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Blake Coleman scored at 5:46 of the second, moving CGY’s win probability from 53% to 73%. Yaroslav Askarov saved 3.0 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | SJS–CGY | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 5:46 |  CGY | Blake Coleman unassisted | 0–1 | 53% → 73% |
| P3 19:55 | CGY | Samuel HonzekEN from Mikael Backlund | 0–2 | 97% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
SJS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barclay Goodrow C | 11:32 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Skinner L | 0:42 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dmitry Orlov D | 20:05 | −0.08 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Wennberg C | 20:29 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Sam Dickinson D | 14:21 | −0.10 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| William Eklund L | 19:16 | −0.11 | −0.03 | −0.26 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mario Ferraro D | 22:07 | −0.13 | −0.14 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Toffoli C | 14:12 | −0.16 | −0.04 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Reaves R | 9:07 | −0.20 | −0.06 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Timothy Liljegren D | 22:00 | −0.24 | −0.25 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Gaudette R | 17:07 | −0.26 | −0.18 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Vincent Desharnais D | 14:42 | −0.26 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Collin Graf R | 18:08 | −0.32 | −0.19 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Ty Dellandrea C | 17:55 | −0.34 | −0.28 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| John Klingberg D | 21:18 | −0.38 | −0.14 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Will Smith C | 14:27 | −0.47 | −0.18 | −0.27 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Macklin Celebrini C | 21:11 | −0.48 | −0.11 | −0.35 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Philipp Kurashev C | 16:58 | −0.49 | −0.19 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov G | 58:23 | +2.97 |
CGY
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Coleman L | 15:19 | 1 | +0.75 | +0.19 | +0.55 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mikael Backlund C | 16:00 | 1 | +0.45 | +0.23 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.39 | +0.02 | |
| Kevin Bahl D | 23:21 | +0.18 | +0.20 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Bean D | 14:20 | +0.18 | +0.27 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rasmus Andersson D | 25:24 | +0.15 | +0.14 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Samuel Honzek L | 15:18 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.15 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Rory Kerins C | 15:49 | +0.10 | +0.20 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Brayden Pachal D | 13:28 | +0.08 | +0.26 | −0.17 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Yan Kuznetsov D | 18:05 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Klapka R | 9:52 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jonathan Huberdeau L | 18:53 | −0.05 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Zary C | 11:40 | −0.05 | +0.05 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Nazem Kadri C | 19:36 | −0.12 | +0.20 | −0.36 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Morgan Frost C | 15:49 | −0.27 | −0.12 | −0.18 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Joel Farabee L | 15:12 | −0.29 | +0.21 | −0.49 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| MacKenzie Weegar D | 20:50 | −0.37 | +0.07 | −0.42 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Lomberg L | 7:24 | −0.47 | +0.10 | −0.56 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Coronato R | 19:40 | −0.82 | −0.01 | −0.61 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf G | 60:00 | +1.62 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.