NJD beat CHI 4–3 in overtime. NJD also won the expected-goals battle 3.4 to 2.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Simon Nemec scored at 3:28 of overtime, moving NJD’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NJD–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 18:35 | CHI | Connor BedardPP from Teuvo Teravainen, Tyler Bertuzzi | 0–1 | 58% → 72% |
| P2 19:45 |  NJD | Simon Nemec from Nico Hischier, Timo Meier | 1–1 | 23% → 48% |
| P3 3:05 | CHI | Landon Slaggert from Louis Crevier, Nick Foligno | 1–2 | 52% → 78% |
| P3 10:13 | NJD | Dawson Mercer from Jack Hughes, Arseny Gritsyuk | 2–2 | 17% → 48% |
| P3 13:34 | CHI | Sam Lafferty from Nick Foligno, Louis Crevier | 2–3 | 51% → 87% |
| P3 16:14 | NJD | Simon Nemec from Stefan Noesen, Jack Hughes | 3–3 | 10% → 49% |
| OT 3:28 | NJD | Simon Nemec from Jacob Markstrom, Luke Hughes | 4–3 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Nemec D | 27:07 | 3 | +2.57 | +0.24 | +2.34 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dawson Mercer C | 24:43 | 1 | +0.98 | +0.51 | +0.48 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Jack Hughes C | 24:07 | 2 | +0.38 | +0.52 | −0.41 | +0.07 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Jonas Siegenthaler D | 22:37 | +0.17 | +0.25 | −0.05 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Arseny Gritsyuk R | 20:39 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.18 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Colton White D | 11:40 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zack MacEwen C | 3:42 | +0.03 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Stefan Noesen R | 13:17 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Luke Glendening C | 7:31 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dennis Cholowski D | 12:37 | −0.08 | +0.08 | −0.14 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Paul Cotter C | 11:15 | −0.08 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Cody Glass C | 4:02 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Ondrej Palat L | 12:34 | −0.12 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Brenden Dillon D | 21:49 | −0.19 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Nico Hischier C | 23:52 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.14 | −0.38 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Timo Meier R | 20:32 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.07 | −0.30 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Jesper Bratt L | 20:11 | −0.34 | +0.04 | −0.38 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Hughes D | 27:52 | 1 | −0.48 | +0.25 | −0.49 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom G | 63:28 | −0.95 |
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Slaggert L | 9:32 | 1 | +0.87 | +0.06 | +0.82 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sam Lafferty C | 10:16 | 1 | +0.83 | −0.00 | +0.82 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Bedard C | 24:37 | 1 | +0.42 | −0.45 | +0.68 | +0.05 | −0.05 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Foligno L | 12:03 | 2 | +0.04 | +0.05 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 17:57 | +0.01 | +0.09 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Connor Murphy D | 14:07 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 22:07 | −0.03 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Dach C | 12:28 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Louis Crevier D | 18:00 | 2 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sam Rinzel D | 13:35 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 23:02 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Greene C | 20:45 | −0.20 | −0.10 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Oliver Moore C | 18:19 | −0.22 | −0.23 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 19:02 | −0.35 | −0.15 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Artyom Levshunov D | 19:35 | −0.37 | −0.41 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Donato C | 15:14 | −0.38 | −0.26 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 18:27 | 1 | −0.52 | −0.11 | −0.59 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 25:00 | 1 | −0.60 | −0.30 | −0.32 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight G | 63:28 | −0.40 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.