CBJ beat SEA 2–1 in a shootout. CBJ also won the expected-goals battle 3.2 to 2.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Adam Fantilli scored on the power play at 18:22 of the second, moving CBJ’s win probability from 29% to 48%. Jet Greaves saved 2.3 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CBJ–SEA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 16:43 |  SEA | Ryan Winterton from Ben Meyers, Jamie Oleksiak | 0–1 | 53% → 71% |
| P2 18:22 | CBJ | Adam FantilliPP from Kirill Marchenko, Sean Monahan | 1–1 | 29% → 48% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Coyle C | 19:11 | +0.99 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +1.01 | ||
| Kirill Marchenko R | 22:08 | 1 | +0.65 | +0.14 | −0.28 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.79 | |
| Adam Fantilli C | 23:26 | 1 | +0.45 | +0.19 | +0.45 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.19 | −0.06 | −0.32 | |
| Damon Severson D | 15:58 | +0.11 | +0.16 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Denton Mateychuk D | 19:44 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Christiansen D | 8:21 | −0.04 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Boone Jenner C | 7:21 | −0.04 | +0.10 | −0.14 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Mathieu Olivier R | 13:32 | −0.06 | +0.09 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Egor Chinakhov R | 13:54 | −0.12 | +0.10 | −0.21 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Ivan Provorov D | 28:10 | −0.12 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dante Fabbro D | 16:45 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Sillinger C | 17:49 | −0.13 | −0.03 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Zach Werenski D | 32:43 | −0.16 | −0.03 | −0.14 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luca Del Bel Belluz C | 13:48 | −0.19 | −0.06 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Isac Lundeström C | 13:49 | −0.27 | −0.25 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Dmitri Voronkov L | 18:14 | −0.40 | +0.04 | −0.43 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Sean Monahan C | 21:53 | 1 | −0.63 | +0.15 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.08 | −0.49 | |
| Miles Wood L | 14:30 | −0.79 | −0.14 | −0.45 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jet Greaves G | 65:00 | +2.34 |
SEA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Winterton C | 12:34 | 1 | +0.86 | +0.14 | +0.72 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Eeli Tolvanen R | 12:59 | +0.32 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.68 | ||
| Brandon Montour D | 22:14 | +0.16 | +0.23 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryker Evans D | 21:09 | +0.14 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tye Kartye L | 11:57 | +0.11 | +0.12 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Vince Dunn D | 21:54 | +0.05 | −0.01 | −0.14 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chandler Stephenson C | 22:12 | +0.05 | +0.04 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | −0.00 | ||
| Berkly Catton C | 9:01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 20:19 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jaden Schwartz C | 20:53 | −0.13 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Adam Larsson D | 20:10 | −0.24 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Lindgren D | 18:33 | −0.31 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matty Beniers C | 24:05 | −0.31 | −0.14 | −0.17 | −0.02 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Shane Wright C | 14:52 | −0.37 | −0.07 | −0.30 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Mason Marchment L | 16:35 | −0.41 | −0.02 | −0.08 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 | ||
| Ben Meyers C | 12:35 | 1 | −0.62 | +0.19 | −0.59 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | −0.03 | −0.00 | |
| Kaapo Kakko R | 14:11 | −0.63 | −0.10 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.49 | ||
| Jordan Eberle R | 21:34 | −0.79 | +0.13 | −0.55 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.38 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Murray G | 74:51 | +1.05 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.