CHI beat DET 5–1. CHI lost the expected-goals battle 1.5 to 4.8 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Teuvo Teravainen scored on the power play at 3:22 of the second, moving CHI’s win probability from 48% to 66%. Arvid Soderblom saved 4.3 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–DET | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 0:59 |  CHI | Connor BedardPP from Artyom Levshunov, Teuvo Teravainen | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P1 4:19 | DET | Dylan Larkin from Lucas Raymond, Simon Edvinsson | 1–1 | 37% → 53% |
| P2 3:22 | CHI | Teuvo TeravainenPP from Andre Burakovsky, Tyler Bertuzzi | 2–1 | 48% → 66% |
| P3 5:09 | CHI | Tyler BertuzziPP from Connor Bedard, Artyom Levshunov | 3–1 | 77% → 92% |
| P3 16:37 | CHI | Andre BurakovskyEN from Connor Bedard, Louis Crevier | 4–1 | 99% → 100% |
| P3 19:44 | CHI | Oliver Moore from Ryan Donato, Matt Grzelcyk | 5–1 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Bedard C | 17:55 | 1 | 2 | +0.42 | −0.14 | +0.37 | +0.22 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi L | 15:15 | 1 | 1 | +0.35 | −0.01 | +0.36 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 |
| Oliver Moore C | 11:32 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.07 | +0.19 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Artyom Levshunov D | 17:08 | 2 | +0.26 | −0.32 | +0.00 | +0.41 | −0.03 | +0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Donato C | 12:42 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 18:56 | 1 | 1 | +0.18 | −0.38 | +0.39 | +0.13 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 |
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 13:40 | 1 | +0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.07 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andre Burakovsky L | 15:54 | 1 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.07 | −0.17 | +0.26 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Nick Foligno L | 17:30 | −0.12 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Rinzel D | 14:29 | −0.14 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Dach C | 12:19 | −0.16 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Sam Lafferty C | 13:30 | −0.17 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ilya Mikheyev R | 19:41 | −0.19 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Wyatt Kaiser D | 21:24 | −0.27 | −0.21 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Vlasic D | 23:28 | −0.29 | −0.28 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Greene C | 17:27 | −0.31 | −0.32 | −0.00 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Louis Crevier D | 15:33 | 1 | −0.35 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Connor Murphy D | 13:41 | −0.36 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.39 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Arvid Soderblom G | 60:00 | +4.26 |
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Larkin C | 18:45 | 1 | +0.51 | +0.33 | −0.03 | −0.17 | −0.00 | +0.39 | +0.00 | |
| Emmitt Finnie C | 16:25 | +0.20 | +0.35 | −0.07 | −0.26 | +0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | ||
| Moritz Seider D | 25:07 | +0.05 | +0.25 | −0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| James van Riemsdyk L | 14:57 | +0.05 | +0.14 | −0.18 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Albert Johansson D | 12:41 | +0.01 | +0.09 | −0.01 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Copp C | 14:00 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Lucas Raymond L | 19:17 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.29 | −0.37 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| J.T. Compher L | 14:38 | −0.02 | +0.07 | −0.00 | −0.12 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 17:34 | −0.06 | +0.25 | −0.18 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Axel Sandin-Pellikka D | 21:02 | −0.07 | +0.17 | −0.02 | −0.20 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Elmer Soderblom L | 11:24 | −0.11 | +0.02 | −0.11 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Chiarot D | 19:08 | −0.12 | +0.07 | −0.06 | −0.14 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marco Kasper C | 14:46 | −0.15 | +0.07 | −0.11 | −0.14 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Alex DeBrincat R | 19:39 | −0.16 | +0.21 | −0.28 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Simon Edvinsson D | 21:32 | 1 | −0.17 | +0.18 | −0.12 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | |
| Travis Hamonic D | 10:53 | −0.21 | +0.07 | −0.04 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Appleton C | 12:00 | −0.22 | −0.07 | −0.12 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nate Danielson C | 15:16 | −0.24 | +0.09 | −0.15 | −0.12 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.06 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| John Gibson G | 69:26 | −1.42 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.