NYR beat DET 4–1. NYR also won the expected-goals battle 3.5 to 2.3: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Noah Laba scored at 4:52 of the second, moving NYR’s win probability from 47% to 67%. Jonathan Quick saved 1.7 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYR–DET | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 6:46 |  NYR | Will CuyllePP from Mika Zibanejad, Artemi Panarin | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 11:06 |  DET | J.T. Compher from Mason Appleton, Andrew Copp | 1–1 | 36% → 53% |
| P2 4:52 | NYR | Noah Laba from Alexis Lafrenière, Artemi Panarin | 2–1 | 47% → 67% |
| P3 7:29 | NYR | Artemi Panarin from Mika Zibanejad, Taylor Raddysh | 3–1 | 78% → 94% |
| P3 8:27 | NYR | Alexis Lafrenière from Conor Sheary | 4–1 | 95% → 99% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artemi Panarin L | 18:31 | 1 | 2 | +0.96 | +0.13 | +0.74 | +0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Alexis Lafrenière L | 16:35 | 1 | 1 | +0.79 | +0.06 | +0.73 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Noah Laba C | 15:57 | 1 | +0.73 | +0.15 | +0.60 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Will Cuylle L | 17:47 | 1 | +0.45 | −0.11 | +0.57 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Conor Sheary L | 16:08 | 1 | +0.19 | +0.13 | −0.52 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.58 | +0.00 | |
| Sam Carrick C | 10:48 | +0.14 | +0.10 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Jaroslav Chmelar R | 10:46 | +0.13 | +0.13 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matthew Robertson D | 14:51 | +0.11 | +0.10 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Carson Soucy D | 17:52 | +0.10 | +0.08 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Juuso Parssinen C | 10:59 | +0.08 | +0.09 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Braden Schneider D | 18:37 | +0.07 | +0.08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Will Borgen D | 18:13 | −0.03 | +0.15 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Mika Zibanejad C | 19:23 | 2 | −0.05 | +0.05 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Taylor Raddysh R | 15:39 | 1 | −0.10 | +0.09 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Jonny Brodzinski C | 11:28 | −0.11 | +0.09 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| J.T. Miller C | 19:11 | −0.21 | −0.05 | −0.20 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Vladislav Gavrikov D | 22:13 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Fox D | 24:39 | −0.49 | +0.08 | −0.41 | +0.02 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick G | 69:14 | +1.72 |
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Compher L | 15:44 | 1 | +0.68 | −0.04 | +0.54 | −0.02 | +0.04 | +0.19 | −0.04 | |
| Lucas Raymond L | 17:19 | +0.04 | +0.07 | −0.25 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Moritz Seider D | 25:24 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.04 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| James van Riemsdyk L | 15:22 | −0.08 | −0.10 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Emmitt Finnie C | 15:19 | −0.09 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Travis Hamonic D | 12:49 | −0.10 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Elmer Soderblom L | 12:09 | −0.10 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Chiarot D | 18:56 | −0.17 | −0.11 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Copp C | 14:46 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.01 | |
| Simon Edvinsson D | 22:11 | −0.19 | −0.08 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marco Kasper C | 15:27 | −0.25 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Dylan Larkin C | 19:13 | −0.27 | +0.06 | −0.59 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.19 | +0.07 | ||
| Michael Rasmussen C | 10:09 | −0.30 | −0.15 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Alex DeBrincat R | 16:50 | −0.32 | −0.07 | −0.25 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Mason Appleton C | 14:19 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.22 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Albert Johansson D | 16:38 | −0.35 | −0.14 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Axel Sandin-Pellikka D | 19:21 | −0.40 | −0.13 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.19 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 17:41 | −0.67 | −0.08 | −0.61 | +0.05 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Cam Talbot G | 69:59 | −1.08 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.