PHI beat MTL 5–4 in a shootout. PHI also won the expected-goals battle 4.6 to 2.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Nikita Grebenkin scored at 10:51 of the third, moving PHI’s win probability from 16% to 48%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–MTL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 1:56 | PHI | Bobby Brink from Travis Sanheim, Cam York | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P1 7:07 | PHI | Cam YorkPP from Trevor Zegras, Travis Konecny | 2–0 | 67% → 77% |
| P1 7:50 | PHI | Bobby BrinkPP from Noah Cates, Trevor Zegras | 3–0 | 77% → 90% |
| P2 3:12 |  MTL | Kirby Dach from Noah Dobson, Brendan Gallagher | 3–1 | 7% → 19% |
| P2 4:15 | MTL | Nick SuzukiPP from Ivan Demidov, Cole Caufield | 3–2 | 19% → 33% |
| P2 13:28 | MTL | Kirby Dach from Lane Hutson, Jayden Struble | 3–3 | 30% → 53% |
| P2 15:57 | MTL | Ivan DemidovPP from Juraj Slafkovský, Lane Hutson | 3–4 | 54% → 76% |
| P3 10:51 | PHI | Nikita Grebenkin from Travis Konecny, Jamie Drysdale | 4–4 | 16% → 48% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Brink R | 15:25 | 2 | +1.47 | +0.11 | +1.36 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Nikita Grebenkin R | 9:41 | 1 | +0.84 | −0.05 | +0.88 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Cam York D | 25:47 | 1 | 1 | +0.82 | +0.14 | +0.68 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Trevor Zegras C | 23:24 | 2 | +0.51 | +0.28 | −0.46 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.66 | |
| Owen Tippett R | 21:24 | +0.10 | +0.50 | −0.78 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.39 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Jamie Drysdale D | 26:42 | 1 | +0.08 | −0.28 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.39 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Emil Andrae D | 10:43 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noah Juulsen D | 10:49 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 19:48 | −0.06 | +0.19 | −0.09 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Nicolas Deslauriers L | 6:24 | −0.06 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jacob Gaucher C | 6:23 | −0.06 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Garnet Hathaway R | 10:38 | −0.25 | −0.16 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 25:06 | 1 | −0.28 | +0.07 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matvei Michkov R | 15:31 | −0.41 | +0.11 | −0.43 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.11 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 19:01 | −0.50 | −0.10 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Christian Dvorak C | 23:56 | −0.58 | +0.06 | −0.59 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | −0.00 | ||
| Noah Cates L | 18:44 | 1 | −0.69 | −0.15 | −0.45 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.08 | −0.00 | |
| Travis Konecny R | 21:26 | 2 | −1.08 | −0.47 | −0.60 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar G | 64:55 | −0.56 |
MTL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirby Dach C | 13:29 | 2 | +1.08 | −0.01 | +1.30 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Nick Suzuki C | 21:27 | 1 | +0.64 | +0.23 | +0.62 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.11 | −0.33 | |
| Lane Hutson D | 23:23 | 2 | +0.36 | +0.37 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ivan Demidov R | 15:21 | 1 | 1 | +0.35 | +0.16 | +0.50 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 |
| Brendan Gallagher R | 11:51 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.09 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.19 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Juraj Slafkovský L | 18:29 | 1 | +0.16 | +0.21 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Jayden Struble D | 15:03 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.11 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Zachary Bolduc R | 12:51 | +0.06 | +0.07 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Arber Xhekaj D | 10:38 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jake Evans C | 16:26 | −0.07 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | −0.00 | ||
| Josh Anderson R | 14:59 | −0.11 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Joe Veleno C | 11:15 | −0.18 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Mike Matheson D | 27:51 | −0.20 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexandre Carrier D | 18:55 | −0.23 | −0.19 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cole Caufield R | 20:26 | 1 | −0.27 | +0.07 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.29 | |
| Oliver Kapanen C | 13:16 | −0.28 | −0.27 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Noah Dobson D | 23:58 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.03 | −0.22 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Newhook C | 16:19 | −0.68 | −0.31 | −0.34 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Samuel Montembeault G | 65:00 | +0.54 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.